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Moyola vs Ards

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Moyola Logo

Moyola

0 - 0
FT
Ards Logo

Ards

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Moyola and Ards finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Moyola
20%
Draws
40%
Ards
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Moyola haven't matched Ards's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ards have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Moyola Clean Sheet 15%
Ards Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moyola Ards
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.36 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 NIFL Championship
Moyola vs Ards
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Irish Cup
Moyola vs Ards
1:3
Sep 18, 2010 Irish League Cup
Ards vs Moyola
3:1
Mar 17, 2007 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Moyola
3:0
Jan 6, 2007 NIFL Championship
Moyola vs Ards
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moyola 31 / 100
Ards 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moyola Ards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ards Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moyola's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ards has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Ards's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Moyola VS Ards
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Moyola

(Home)
19 Sept
Moyola
0 : 0
Ards
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Moyola
1 : 4
Harland & Wolff
28 Aug
Moyola
1 : 0
Armagh
22 Aug
Annagh
2 : 0
Moyola
Page 1 of 6

Ards

(Away)
19 Sept
Moyola
0 : 0
Ards
12 Sept
Ards
1 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
04 Sept
Annagh
2 : 1
Ards
28 Aug
Ards
0 : 3
Queens University
22 Aug
Ards
1 : 2
Loughgall
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newington FC 8 5 2 1 20:11 17
2 Annagh 8 5 2 1 18:12 17
3 Queens University 8 5 1 2 18:6 16
4 Harland & Wolff 8 5 0 3 15:10 15
5 Glenavon 8 4 2 2 18:12 14
6 Ballinamallard 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
7 Institute 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Newry City 8 3 3 2 12:14 12
9 Ards 8 3 2 3 11:11 11
10 Warrenpoint 8 3 1 4 15:14 10
11 Loughgall 8 2 4 2 11:14 10
12 Dundela 8 1 5 2 16:18 8
13 Moyola 8 2 2 4 9:17 8
14 Strabane Athletic 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Armagh 8 0 4 4 8:14 4
16 Rathfriland Rangers 8 1 0 7 6:19 3
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)