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Moyola vs Glenavon Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moyola host Glenavon in the NIFL Championship. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Moyola at 1.32 goals for, 1.89 against; Glenavon at 1.56 for, 1.56 against. Head-to-head, Moyola have won 1 to Glenavon's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 1, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 2.19, favoring Moyola. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Moyola
20%
Draws
47%
Glenavon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Glenavon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Glenavon haven't matched Moyola's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Glenavon taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Moyola Clean Sheet 10%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moyola Glenavon
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 12 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.32 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Moyola vs Glenavon
2:1
Jan 10, 2015 Irish Cup
Moyola vs Glenavon
2:3
Feb 18, 2005 NIFL Championship
Glenavon vs Moyola
3:0
Oct 9, 2004 NIFL Championship
Moyola vs Glenavon
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moyola 10 / 100
Glenavon 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moyola Glenavon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glenavon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glenavon let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Moyola found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Moyola stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moyola VS Glenavon
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Moyola

(Home)
26 Sept
Queens University
0 : 1
Moyola
19 Sept
Moyola
0 : 0
Ards
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Moyola
1 : 4
Harland & Wolff
28 Aug
Moyola
1 : 0
Armagh
Page 1 of 6

Glenavon

(Away)
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0
Newington FC
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2
Glenavon
28 Aug
Glenavon
3 : 1
Rathfriland Rangers
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newington FC 9 6 2 1 24:11 20
2 Annagh 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Glenavon 9 5 2 2 22:13 17
4 Queens University 9 5 1 3 18:7 16
5 Harland & Wolff 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
6 Newry City 9 4 3 2 15:16 15
7 Warrenpoint 9 4 1 4 17:14 13
8 Ballinamallard 9 4 1 4 15:15 13
9 Institute 9 4 1 4 13:17 13
10 Dundela 9 2 5 2 18:18 11
11 Ards 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
12 Moyola 9 3 2 4 10:17 11
13 Loughgall 9 2 4 3 12:18 10
14 Strabane Athletic 9 2 2 5 10:19 8
15 Armagh 9 0 4 5 8:16 4
16 Rathfriland Rangers 9 1 0 8 6:21 3
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)