Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mozambique U20 vs South Africa U20

Africa Africa

COSAFA Championship U20 2022 Somhlolo Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Chamito
13'
Traore C.
15' Event
Abdala K.

AI Match Summary

Mozambique U20 in this COSAFA Championship U20 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mozambique U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mozambique U20
6%
Draws
90%
South Africa U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Africa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Africa U20 lately — more wins on the board than Mozambique U20.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on South Africa U20 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this COSAFA Championship U20 2022 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Mozambique U20 Clean Sheet 13%
South Africa U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mozambique U20 South Africa U20
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 13 25
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2022 COSAFA Championship U20
Mozambique U20 vs South Africa U20
2:1
Dec 8, 2020 COSAFA Championship U20
South Africa U20 vs Mozambique U20
0:0
May 20, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations U20
South Africa U20 vs Mozambique U20
3:0
May 12, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Mozambique U20 vs South Africa U20
1:1
Dec 9, 2017 COSAFA Championship U20
Mozambique U20 vs South Africa U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mozambique U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chamito
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdala K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

South Africa U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Duba W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mozambique U20 10 / 100
South Africa U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mozambique U20 South Africa U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Mozambique U20 scored in 58% of their last 33 games.

South Africa U20 has conceded goals in 39% of their last 36 outings.

South Africa U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mozambique U20 VS South Africa U20
0 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mozambique U202
South Africa U201
Zambia U202
Angola U201
Final
Mozambique U200
Zambia U201
South Africa U202
Angola U201