Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Kern M.
22'
Sub
Beriashvili I. In: Belenyesi C.
Out: Beriashvili I.
23' Event
Harutyunyan G.

AI Match Summary

The NB I. game between MTK Budapest and Puskas Academy finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puskas Academy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
MTK Budapest
15%
Draws
48%
Puskas Academy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puskas Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Puskas Academy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Puskas Academy taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 18%
Puskas Academy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest Puskas Academy
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 12 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy
2:3
May 15, 2026 NB I.
Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest
2:2
Feb 14, 2026 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 NB I.
Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 NB I.
Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurek G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerezsi Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Puskas Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Kern M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harutyunyan G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest 15 / 100
Puskas Academy 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest Puskas Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puskas Academy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: MTK Budapest scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Puskas Academy conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

MTK Budapest went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest VS Puskas Academy
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest

(Home)
20 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Gyor
12 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
0 : 2
MTK Budapest
05 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Kisvarda FC
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2
MTK Budapest
22 Aug
MTK Budapest
2 : 1
Nyiregyhaza
Page 1 of 6

Puskas Academy

(Away)
18 Sept
Puskas Academy
3 : 1
Honved
13 Sept
Mezoors
1 : 8
Puskas Academy
06 Sept
Zalaegerszegi
1 : 0
Puskas Academy
30 Aug
Puskas Academy
1 : 2
Ferencvaros
22 Aug
Vasas
0 : 1
Puskas Academy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puskas Academy 8 5 0 3 13:10 15
2 Gyor 8 4 3 1 16:10 15
3 Vasas 8 4 2 2 17:11 14
4 Ujpest 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
5 Ferencvaros 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
6 Paks 8 3 2 3 16:17 11
7 MTK Budapest 8 2 3 3 15:14 9
8 Kisvarda FC 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Debrecen 8 2 3 3 12:15 9
10 Nyiregyhaza 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
11 Zalaegerszegi 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
12 Honved 7 1 3 3 11:14 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)