Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mufulira Wanderers vs Green Buffaloes FC

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mufulira Wanderers play Green Buffaloes FC in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mufulira Wanderers averaged 0.69 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. Green Buffaloes FC averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Mufulira Wanderers won 1, Green Buffaloes FC won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Mufulira Wanderers and 0.56 for Green Buffaloes FC. This points to a Mufulira Wanderers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Mufulira Wanderers
29%
Draws
30%
Green Buffaloes FC
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Mufulira Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Mufulira Wanderers picked up more points recently compared to Green Buffaloes FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 0.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Mufulira Wanderers Clean Sheet 30%
Green Buffaloes FC Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 46%
Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mufulira Wanderers Green Buffaloes FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 14
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.69 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Mufulira Wanderers
1:0
Jan 28, 2026 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Green Buffaloes FC
2:1
May 17, 2025 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Green Buffaloes FC
1:2
Dec 18, 2024 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Mufulira Wanderers
1:1
Dec 29, 2023 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Mufulira Wanderers
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mufulira Wanderers 43 / 100
Green Buffaloes FC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mufulira Wanderers Green Buffaloes FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mufulira Wanderers or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +60%
10.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mufulira Wanderers attacking → ← attacking Green Buffaloes FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mufulira Wanderers scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Green Buffaloes FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Mufulira Wanderers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Green Buffaloes FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 32
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50