Sport Picks

Rwanda

Premier League

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Muhanga host Rayon Sport in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Rayon Sport have shipped 0.5 goals a game lately, while Muhanga have conceded 1 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Rayon Sport slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 6, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 0.88) point toward Rayon Sport. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Muhanga

30%

Draws

34%

Rayon Sport

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Muhanga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Rayon Sport has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Muhanga.
Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Muhanga.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Muhanga Clean Sheet 20%

Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Muhanga	Rayon Sport
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	8	13
Draws	6	16
Losses	16	5
Goals Scored	0.75	0.75
Goals Conceded	1	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premier League

Muhanga vs Rayon Sport

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Jan 4, 2026 Premier League

Rayon Sport vs Muhanga

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Feb 13, 2021 Premier League

Rayon Sport vs Muhanga

Possession: 42% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

May 2, 2020 Premier League

Muhanga vs Rayon Sport

Possession: 40% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Nov 28, 2019 Premier League

Rayon Sport vs Muhanga

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muhanga 36 / 100

Rayon Sport 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Muhanga Rayon Sport

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muhanga scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Rayon Sport let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Muhanga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rayon Sport lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Muhanga VS Rayon Sport

0.75 Goals Scored 0.75

1 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 50%

13% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Omdurman	34	23	6	5	74:25	75
2	APR	34	19	11	4	50:28	68
3	Al-Merreikh	34	16	11	7	41:24	59
4	Rayon Sport	34	14	14	6	40:30	56
5	Kiyovu	34	13	14	7	34:21	53
6	Police	34	12	16	6	29:19	52
7	Mukura Victory Sports	34	12	11	11	36:38	47
8	Marines	34	12	9	13	47:43	45
9	Bugesera	34	12	8	14	34:39	44
10	Musanze	34	11	10	13	38:37	43
11	Gorilla	34	10	10	14	31:42	40
12	Gicumbi	34	10	8	16	38:54	38
13	Etincelles	34	7	16	11	32:40	37
14	AS Kigali	34	8	11	15	27:39	35
15	Gasogi United	34	8	11	15	29:44	35
16	Amagaju	34	9	8	17	19:38	35
17	Muhanga	34	8	7	19	25:46	31
18	Rutsiro	34	6	11	17	30:47	29