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Muhanga vs Rayon Sport Prediction & H2H Stats

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Muhanga in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Muhanga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Muhanga
35%
Draws
30%
Rayon Sport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Rayon Sport have won more games recently than Muhanga.
  • Win probability leans Muhanga's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Muhanga Clean Sheet 18%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muhanga Rayon Sport
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 19
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 0.8 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premier League
Muhanga vs Rayon Sport
1:0
Jan 4, 2026 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Muhanga
2:0
Feb 13, 2021 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Muhanga
0:0
May 2, 2020 Premier League
Muhanga vs Rayon Sport
0:0
Nov 28, 2019 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Muhanga
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muhanga 40 / 100
Rayon Sport 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muhanga Rayon Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muhanga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muhanga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Muhanga's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Rayon Sport let in goals in 57% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Muhanga VS Rayon Sport
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Muhanga

(Home)
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
22 May
Amagaju
0 : 2
Muhanga
16 May
Kiyovu
1 : 1
Muhanga
10 May
Muhanga
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
06 May
Muhanga
1 : 0
Rayon Sport
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Rayon Sport

(Away)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
12 Sept
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Panthere
04 Sept
Panthere
1 : 1
Rayon Sport
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Mahia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)