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Mukura Victory Sports vs Al-Merreikh

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Mukura Victory Sports and Al-Merreikh finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mukura Victory Sports.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Mukura Victory Sports
39%
Draws
31%
Al-Merreikh
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Merreikh come out ahead of Mukura Victory Sports on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Mukura Victory Sports Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Merreikh Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mukura Victory Sports Al-Merreikh
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 16
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Mukura Victory Sports vs Al-Merreikh
1:0
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Mukura Victory Sports
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mukura Victory Sports 41 / 100
Al-Merreikh 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mukura Victory Sports Al-Merreikh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mukura Victory Sports's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al-Merreikh has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Mukura Victory Sports remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mukura Victory Sports VS Al-Merreikh
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mukura Victory Sports

(Home)
30 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Amagaju
24 May
Gicumbi
3 : 2
Mukura Victory Sports
16 May
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 2
Bugesera
09 May
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 1
Gorilla
06 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Police
Page 1 of 6

Al-Merreikh

(Away)
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
22 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
17 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Al-Merreikh
10 May
Al-Merreikh
0 : 1
Kiyovu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)