Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mumbai City vs Indian Navy

India India

Durand Cup 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Pereyra J.
62' Event
Stewart G.
74' Event
Singh G.

AI Match Summary

Mumbai City in this Durand Cup 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mumbai City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Mumbai City
22%
Draws
18%
Indian Navy
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mumbai City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Mumbai City have won more games recently than Indian Navy.
  • Model gives Mumbai City a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Mumbai City Clean Sheet 68%
Indian Navy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mumbai City Indian Navy
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 16 3
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2023 Durand Cup
Mumbai City vs Indian Navy
4:0
Aug 18, 2022 Durand Cup
Mumbai City vs Indian Navy
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mumbai City Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereyra J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stewart G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Indian Navy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mumbai City 68 / 100
Indian Navy 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mumbai City Indian Navy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indian Navy let in goals in 90% of their last 20 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Mumbai City scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Mumbai City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mumbai City VS Indian Navy
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1East Bengal32104:27
2Mohun Bagan32017:16
3Bangladesh Army30212:72
4Minerva Punjab30120:31
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mumbai City330012:19
2Mohammedan32019:46
3Jamshedpur31021:113
4Indian Navy30031:70
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gokulam32016:56
2Bengaluru FC31205:35
3Kerala Blasters311110:64
4Indian Air Force (New Delhi)30121:81
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Goa321011:27
2North East United32109:37
3Lajong31022:113
4Downtown Heroes30032:80
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chennaiyin FC33008:29
2Hyderabad31115:44
3Delhi FC30213:42
4Nepal Army30121:71
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Army Red32103:17
2Rajasthan United31112:24
3Bodoland FC31023:43
4Odisha FC31023:43