Sport Picks

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Mura vs Domzale

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga 2025/2026 Mestni stadion Fazanerija, Murska Sobota
Sat, Feb 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mura host Domzale in the Prva liga 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Domzale have shipped 1.92 goals a game lately, while Mura have conceded 1.96 and scored 1.07. Head-to-head, Mura have won 1 to Domzale's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 1.44, favoring Domzale. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mura
30%
Draws
47%
Domzale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Domzale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Domzale haven't matched Mura's recent run of results.
  • Domzale are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Prva liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mura Clean Sheet 16%
Domzale Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mura Domzale
Matches Played 27 12
Wins 6 3
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Prva liga
Domzale vs Mura
0:0
Feb 21, 2026 Prva liga
Mura vs Domzale
0:0
Nov 3, 2025 Prva liga
Domzale vs Mura
3:3
Aug 16, 2025 Prva liga
Mura vs Domzale
3:0
Apr 10, 2025 Prva liga
Mura vs Domzale
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mura 19 / 100
Domzale 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mura Domzale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Domzale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Domzale let in goals in 83% of their last 12 matches.

Mura found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Domzale has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mura VS Domzale
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mura

(Home)
20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0
Celje
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6
Aluminij
06 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
Mura
29 Aug
Bravo
2 : 0
Mura
22 Aug
Mura
0 : 1
Koper
Page 1 of 6

Domzale

(Away)
05 Dec
Koper
2 : 1
Domzale
30 Nov
Domzale
1 : 0
Bravo
22 Nov
Domzale
0 : 2
Celje
08 Nov
Aluminij
3 : 1
Domzale
03 Nov
Domzale
3 : 3
Mura
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celje 34 23 5 6 85:32 74
2 Koper 34 20 7 7 71:43 67
3 Bravo 34 19 5 10 62:51 62
4 O. Ljubljana 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
5 Maribor 34 15 8 11 57:43 53
6 Radomlje 34 13 6 15 50:63 45
7 Aluminij 34 10 6 18 42:61 36
8 Mura 34 8 7 19 35:55 31
9 Primorje 34 6 4 24 31:74 22
10 Domzale 18 3 3 12 17:38 12
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL (Main)