Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Zorica J.
16'
16'
Korosec A.
31'
31'
Ajhmajer N.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nafta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Nafta have won more games recently than Mura.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Nafta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nafta, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Mura Clean Sheet 11%
Nafta Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mura | Nafta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.92 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Prva liga
Nafta vs Mura
5:2
Dec 3, 2025 Slovenian Cup
Mura vs Nafta
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Prva liga
Nafta vs Mura
4:2
Feb 2, 2025 Prva liga
Mura vs Nafta
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 Prva liga
Nafta vs Mura
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mura Compare
Top Goalscorer Korosec A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Nafta Compare
Top Goalscorer Zorica J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mura 30 / 100
Nafta 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mura Nafta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nafta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Mura scored in 65% of their last 26 games.
Defensive concern: Nafta conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Nafta's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Mura VS Nafta
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Mura
(Home) 20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0 Celje
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6 Aluminij
06 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1 Mura
29 Aug
Bravo
2 : 0 Mura
22 Aug
Mura
0 : 1 Koper
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0 Celje
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6 Aluminij
22 Aug
Mura
0 : 1 Koper
10 Aug
Mura
1 : 3 Radomlje
25 Jul
Mura
1 : 0 O. Ljubljana
Page 1 of 3
Nafta
(Away) 19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0 Nafta
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2 Nafta
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1 Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3 Maribor
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0 Nafta
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0 Nafta
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2 Nafta
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0 Nafta
09 Aug
Aluminij
1 : 1 Nafta
26 Jul
Bravo
0 : 3 Nafta
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Tromejnik Montpreis 0
Jadran Dekani 3
Malecnik 2
Kamnik 1
Beltinci 1
Radomlje 3
Tabor Sezana 1
Primorje 4
Grosuplje 2
Maribor 1
Stojnci 0
Bistrica 18
Sencur 1
O. Ljubljana 2
Makole Bar Miha 0
Celje 4
Fama Vipava 1
Bravo 2
Ljutomer 0
Rudar 3
Dravinja 1
Mura 2
Skofja Loka 1
Nafta 6
Odranci 2
Fuzinar 4
Race 2
NK Krka 1
Ziri 1
Aluminij 6
NK Polana 1
Zavrc 0
1/8-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Malecnik 0
Radomlje 3
Primorje 2
Grosuplje 2
Bistrica 1
O. Ljubljana 1
Celje 0
Bravo 2
Rudar 0
Mura 1
Nafta 2
Fuzinar 5
Race 0
Aluminij 7
NK Polana 1
Quarter-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Radomlje 4
Grosuplje 1
O. Ljubljana 0
Bravo 2
Nafta 0
Fuzinar 0
Aluminij 4
Semi-finals
Radomlje 0
Grosuplje 1
Bravo 0
Aluminij 1
Final
Grosuplje 0
Aluminij 1
