Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Murcia vs Teruel

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Enrique Roca, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Jorquera Romero J.
Assist: Bustos A.
46'
Sub
Felipe P. In: Romera M.
Out: Felipe P.
46'
Sub
Medina G. In: Sese M.
Out: Medina G.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 game between Murcia and Teruel finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Murcia
15%
Draws
7%
Teruel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Murcia come out ahead of Teruel on wins alone.
  • Murcia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Murcia Clean Sheet 68%
Teruel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murcia Teruel
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Teruel
4:0
Feb 1, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Teruel vs Murcia
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Teruel
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorquera Romero J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno Sanchez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Teruel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murcia 95 / 100
Teruel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murcia Teruel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murcia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murcia found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Murcia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Teruel registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Teruel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Murcia VS Teruel
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Murcia

(Home)
19 Sept
Murcia
2 : 1
CE Europa
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Murcia
13 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 0
Murcia
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2
Murcia
06 Sept
Murcia
4 : 0
Teruel
Page 1 of 6

Teruel

(Away)
19 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0
Teruel
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1
Jaen
06 Sept
Murcia
4 : 0
Teruel
31 Aug
Teruel
0 : 0
Real Madrid B
22 Aug
Teruel
0 : 2
Villarreal B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarreal B 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Jaen 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
3 Murcia 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
4 Zaragoza 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
5 Atl. Madrid B 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
6 Gimnastic de Tarragona 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
7 Alcorcon 4 1 3 0 6:3 6
8 UD Ibiza 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
9 Hercules 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
10 FC Cartagena SAD 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
11 Real Madrid B 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
12 Antequera 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
13 Aguilas FC 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
14 Huesca 4 1 2 1 3:5 5
15 Rayo Majadahonda 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
16 Sant Andreu 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
17 Torremolinos 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
18 Algeciras 4 0 1 3 5:10 1
19 CE Europa 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
20 Teruel 4 0 1 3 0:7 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)