Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Murici vs Coruripe

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio José Gomes da Costa, Murici
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Santos Barreto J. P. In: Cleyton
Out: Santos Barreto J. P.
21'
Helio J.
28'
Daniel Alagoano

AI Match Summary

Murici in this Alagoano matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Murici.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Murici
33%
Draws
27%
Coruripe
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Murici

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Coruripe have won more games recently than Murici.
  • Murici are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Alagoano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Murici Clean Sheet 68%
Coruripe Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murici Coruripe
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Alagoano
Murici vs Coruripe
1:0
Jan 15, 2025 Alagoano
Murici vs Coruripe
2:2
Feb 21, 2024 Copa Alagoas
Murici vs Coruripe
0:0
Feb 10, 2024 Alagoano
Coruripe vs Murici
1:1
Feb 19, 2023 Alagoano
Murici vs Coruripe
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Murici Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Coruripe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murici 50 / 100
Coruripe 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murici Coruripe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coruripe let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Murici scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Murici stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Murici VS Coruripe
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Murici

(Home)
18 Mar
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 0
Murici
14 Mar
Zumbi
1 : 0
Murici
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0
Miguelense
22 Feb
ASA
3 : 0
Murici
14 Feb
Murici
0 : 0
ASA
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Coruripe

(Away)
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
14 Mar
CRB
5 : 1
Coruripe
12 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CSA
07 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CRB
04 Feb
Dimensao Capela
0 : 2
Coruripe
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASA752013:317
2CSA752010:117
3CRB74128:813
4Murici73228:511
5Cruzeiro Arapiraca72056:126
6Coruripe71245:115
7SC Penedense71242:85
8Clube Sociedade Esportiva71156:104
Promotion - Alagoano (Play Offs)