Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Murray United FC vs North Geelong Warriors

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria 2 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria 2 2019 game between Murray United FC and North Geelong Warriors finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Murray United FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Murray United FC
6%
Draws
4%
North Geelong Warriors
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Murray United FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and North Geelong Warriors come out ahead of Murray United FC on wins alone.
  • Murray United FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Victoria 2 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Murray United FC Clean Sheet 19%
North Geelong Warriors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murray United FC North Geelong Warriors
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2019 Victoria Premier League
Murray United FC vs North Geelong Warriors
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murray United FC 85 / 100
North Geelong Warriors 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murray United FC North Geelong Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murray United FC's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

North Geelong Warriors's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Murray United FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS North Geelong Warriors
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Murray United FC

(Home)
07 Sept
Murray United FC
2 : 0
Manningham United Blues
31 Aug
Goulburn Valley Suns
2 : 3
Murray United FC
25 Aug
Box Hill
2 : 2
Murray United FC
17 Aug
Murray United FC
1 : 2
Werribee City
03 Aug
Moreland City
3 : 4
Murray United FC
Page 1 of 6

North Geelong Warriors

(Away)
25 Jul
Brunswick Juventus
3 : 0
North Geelong Warriors
18 Jul
North Geelong Warriors
0 : 2
Melbourne Victory U21
11 Jul
Eltham Redbacks
3 : 1
North Geelong Warriors
04 Jul
North Geelong Warriors
1 : 1
Port Melbourne Sharks
20 Jun
Manningham United Blues
2 : 3
North Geelong Warriors
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eastern Lions28176554:3257
2Bulleen28165755:3953
3Northcote City281521146:4047
4Langwarrin28118944:3741
5Manningham United Blues281251148:4441
6Goulburn Valley Suns281061255:5236
7Melbourne City U2128951458:6532
8Murray United FC281041450:6431
9Box Hill284101431:4922
10Springvale28471726:7019
Promotion - NPL Victoria 2 2019 (Grand Final)
Promotion - NPL Victoria 2 2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St Albans28174758:3055
2Brunswick Juventus28158550:3053
3Werribee City28146851:3248
4Moreland City28138757:4244
5North Geelong Warriors281351042:3544
6Brunswick City281171050:4440
7Geelong281061239:4336
8Whittlesea Rangers281061236:4936
9Melbourne Victory U2128671536:4825
10Ballarat City28352035:7614
Promotion - NPL Victoria 2 2019 (Grand Final)
Promotion - NPL Victoria 2 2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)