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Stadium Background

Mushuc Runa vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mushuc Runa
6%
Draws
4%
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mushuc Runa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mushuc Runa lately — more wins on the board than Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Mushuc Runa taking it.
  • Regular Serie B 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mushuc Runa here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 20%
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mushuc Runa Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2013 Serie B
Mushuc Runa vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
1:1
Aug 3, 2013 Serie B
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios vs Mushuc Runa
1:2
Jun 1, 2013 Serie B
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios vs Mushuc Runa
0:3
Mar 30, 2013 Serie B
Mushuc Runa vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mushuc Runa 85 / 100
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mushuc Runa Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Mushuc Runa found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Away concern: Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mushuc Runa VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mushuc Runa

(Home)
20 Jul
Mushuc Runa
2 : 1
Orense
14 Jul
Macara
2 : 1
Mushuc Runa
11 Jul
Mushuc Runa
1 : 4
Independiente del Valle
06 Jul
U. Catolica
2 : 3
Mushuc Runa
03 Jun
Gualaceo
1 : 0
Mushuc Runa
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Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios

(Away)
24 Nov
Aucas
5 : 1
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
17 Nov
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
0 : 3
Deportivo Municipal
13 Nov
CSCD Grecia
1 : 1
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
09 Nov
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
0 : 1
Olmedo
02 Nov
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olmedo442951076:4392
2Mushuc Runa442491152:4481
3Imbabura4421111263:4774
4Aucas442161769:5369
5Guayaquil City4418141257:4368
6Tecnico U.4417141360:5365
7Deportivo Municipal441682048:6056
8Espoli4413102144:5549
9Univ. Cotopaxi441392248:5748
10Dep. Azogues4411132049:7046
11CSCD Grecia4411122144:6445
12Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios448132347:6837
Promotion - Serie A 2014 (First stage)