Sport Picks
Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista 
AI Match Summary
Mushuc Runa play Independiente del Valle in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mushuc Runa averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Independiente del Valle averaged 1.85 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Mushuc Runa won 0, Independiente del Valle won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Mushuc Runa and 1.81 for Independiente del Valle. This points to a Independiente del Valle double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mushuc Runa picked up more points recently compared to Independiente del Valle.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.81 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mushuc Runa | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 33 |
| Wins | 8 | 22 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mushuc Runa scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Independiente del Valle let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Mushuc Runa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Independiente del Valle lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Dep. Cuenca | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18:17 | 27 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Barcelona SC | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Aucas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 26 |
| 7 | Orense | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:22 | 22 |
| 8 | Emelec | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13:16 | 22 |
| 9 | Tecnico U. | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Macara | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | 20 |
| 11 | Guayaquil City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:19 | 19 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Leones del Norte | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:18 | 17 |
| 14 | Libertad | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:22 | 17 |
| 15 | Delfin | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8:15 | 16 |
| 16 | Manta | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7:19 | 12 |