Sport Picks

Turkey

2. Lig Red Group

Guzide Gebzespor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Musspor play Guzide Gebzespor in the 2. Lig Red Group. It looks like a close match. Recently, Musspor averaged 2.37 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Guzide Gebzespor averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Musspor won 1, Guzide Gebzespor won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Musspor and 0.88 for Guzide Gebzespor. This points to a Musspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Musspor

25%

Draws

30%

Guzide Gebzespor

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Musspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Musspor picked up more points recently compared to Guzide Gebzespor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Musspor Clean Sheet 25%

Guzide Gebzespor Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Musspor	Guzide Gebzespor
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	19	13
Draws	6	9
Losses	5	8
Goals Scored	2.37	1.57
Goals Conceded	1.03	0.9
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 2. Lig Red Group

Musspor vs Guzide Gebzespor

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 3 - 0

3:1

Dec 7, 2025 2. Lig Red Group

Guzide Gebzespor vs Musspor

Possession: 49% - 40% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Musspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Can Koc S.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Asliyuksek E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Guzide Gebzespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Guler M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musspor 46 / 100

Guzide Gebzespor 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Musspor Guzide Gebzespor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Musspor or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Musspor attacking → ← attacking Guzide Gebzespor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Musspor scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Guzide Gebzespor let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Musspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Guzide Gebzespor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 48

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	34	25	5	4	87:19	80
2	Mardin 1969	34	22	5	7	67:25	71
3	Musspor	34	21	7	6	82:35	70
4	Aliaga	34	21	6	7	81:32	69
5	K. Istklalspor	34	21	4	9	82:33	67
6	Isparta 32 Spor	34	18	9	7	70:36	63
7	Guzide Gebzespor	34	16	10	8	56:31	58
8	Menemenspor	34	15	6	13	57:51	51
9	Ankara Demirspor	34	14	7	13	47:47	49
10	Aksaray Bld.	34	11	14	9	52:38	47
11	Trabzon FK	34	13	8	13	54:51	47
12	Arnavutkoy Bl.	34	13	7	14	40:36	46
13	Fethiyespor	34	11	11	12	52:41	44
14	Kirklarelispor	34	9	9	16	44:49	36
15	Soma Spor	34	8	6	20	41:68	30
16	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	33	4	3	26	22:97	12
17	Adanaspor AS	33	2	1	30	14:159	1
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	34	0	2	32	8:114	-52