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Mutondo Stars vs Nkana Prediction & H2H Stats

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mutondo Stars
20%
Draws
40%
Nkana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Mutondo Stars haven't matched Nkana's recent run of results.
  • Mutondo Stars are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Nkana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutondo Stars Nkana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 13 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.72 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Nkana
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Super League
Nkana vs Mutondo Stars
0:0
Jan 11, 2025 Super League
Nkana vs Mutondo Stars
2:0
Aug 25, 2024 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Nkana
1:1
Jan 6, 2024 Super League
Nkana vs Mutondo Stars
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutondo Stars 51 / 100
Nkana 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutondo Stars Nkana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nkana conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Mutondo Stars remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Mutondo Stars's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mutondo Stars VS Nkana
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutondo Stars

(Home)
04 Oct
Mutondo Stars
1 : 3
Red Arrows
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Mutondo Stars
3 : 1
Mines
13 May
Power Dynamos
2 : 2
Mutondo Stars
02 May
Mutondo Stars
1 : 0
Red Arrows
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Nkana

(Away)
03 Oct
Trident
0 : 1
Nkana
23 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Nkana
17 May
Nkana
1 : 2
Muza Fc
13 May
Zesco
0 : 1
Nkana
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
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