Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mutschelbach vs Offenburger

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Mormann R.
45' Event
Kendel F.
49' Event
Klemm D.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2023/2024 game between Mutschelbach and Offenburger finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mutschelbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Mutschelbach
30%
Draws
12%
Offenburger
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mutschelbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mutschelbach come out ahead of Offenburger on wins alone.
  • Mutschelbach are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Mutschelbach have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Mutschelbach Clean Sheet 15%
Offenburger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutschelbach Offenburger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.8 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.33 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Mutschelbach vs Offenburger
5:0
Oct 7, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Offenburger vs Mutschelbach
1:1
Dec 3, 2022 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Offenburger vs Mutschelbach
1:2
Aug 17, 2022 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Mutschelbach vs Offenburger
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mutschelbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Mormann R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kendel F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Offenburger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutschelbach 84 / 100
Offenburger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutschelbach Offenburger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mutschelbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mutschelbach scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Offenburger conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Solid form: Mutschelbach remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mutschelbach VS Offenburger
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutschelbach

(Home)
01 Jun
Reutlingen
6 : 0
Mutschelbach
18 May
Mutschelbach
2 : 0
Goppinger
12 May
Backnang
1 : 1
Mutschelbach
09 May
Mutschelbach
1 : 4
FC 08 Villingen
04 May
TSV Essingen
0 : 0
Mutschelbach
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Offenburger

(Away)
08 Feb
Bahlinger
6 : 0
Offenburger
14 Jul
Oberachern
10 : 2
Offenburger
01 Jun
Offenburger
4 : 4
Denzlingen
18 May
VfR Mannheim
4 : 0
Offenburger
12 May
Offenburger
0 : 5
1. CfR Pforzheim
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC 08 Villingen 34 22 6 6 84:40 72
2 Goppinger 34 20 9 5 71:37 69
3 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 20 8 6 77:27 68
4 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 18 10 6 79:46 64
5 FC Nottingen 34 17 9 8 76:41 60
6 Hollenbach 34 14 7 13 61:68 49
7 FC Normannia Gmund 34 13 9 12 46:43 48
8 TSV Essingen 34 13 7 14 45:52 46
9 VfR Mannheim 34 13 4 17 46:59 43
10 Oberachern 34 10 12 12 52:62 42
11 Backnang 34 11 9 14 44:56 42
12 Mutschelbach 34 10 11 13 67:83 41
13 Ravensburg 34 9 13 12 50:60 40
14 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 11 6 17 56:60 39
15 Reutlingen 34 10 7 17 56:63 37
16 Holzhausen FC 34 10 6 18 47:60 36
17 Denzlingen 34 10 6 18 46:76 36
18 Offenburger 34 3 5 26 35:105 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)