Sport Picks
Mwadui vs Biashara Mara United
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 
Match Events
85'
85'
Mangalo A.
Own Goal
90'
90'
Athuman Y.
90'
90'
Kabeja G.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 game between Mwadui and Biashara Mara United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Biashara Mara United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Biashara Mara United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Biashara Mara United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Biashara Mara United's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Mwadui Clean Sheet 23%
Biashara Mara United Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mwadui | Biashara Mara United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 4 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 22 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 0.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 13, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Biashara Mara United
1:2
Sep 13, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Mwadui
1:0
Jul 22, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Biashara Mara United
1:0
Feb 1, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Mwadui
2:1
Feb 19, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Biashara Mara United
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mwadui Compare
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Biashara Mara United Compare
Top Goalscorer Athuman Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kabeja G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mwadui 10 / 100
Biashara Mara United 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mwadui Biashara Mara United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Biashara Mara United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Biashara Mara United has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Mwadui scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Biashara Mara United lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Biashara Mara United
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mwadui
(Home) 18 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0 Mwadui
15 Jul
Coastal Union
5 : 0 Mwadui
20 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2 Mwadui
17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3 Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
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17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3 Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
11 May
Mwadui
0 : 3 Kagera Sugar
18 Apr
Mwadui
0 : 1 Simba
06 Mar
Mwadui
0 : 0 Azam
Page 1 of 3
Biashara Mara United
(Away) 16 Jun
TRA United
2 : 0 Biashara Mara United
12 Jun
Biashara Mara United
1 : 0 TRA United
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2 Biashara Mara United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0 Mbeya Kwanza
29 Jun
Azam
4 : 1 Biashara Mara United
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16 Jun
TRA United
2 : 0 Biashara Mara United
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2 Biashara Mara United
29 Jun
Azam
4 : 1 Biashara Mara United
18 Jun
Geita Gold
2 : 0 Biashara Mara United
14 Jun
Kagera Sugar
0 : 0 Biashara Mara United
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 78:14 | 83 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 52:21 | 74 |
| 3 | Azam | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:22 | 68 |
| 4 | Biashara Mara United | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 28:32 | 50 |
| 5 | Kinondoni MC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 39:27 | 48 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Tanzania Prisons | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 25:25 | 44 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:31 | 44 |
| 9 | Namungo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 24:31 | 43 |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 11 | Ruvu Shooting | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:38 | 41 |
| 12 | Kagera Sugar | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:38 | 40 |
| 13 | Coastal Union | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:46 | 40 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 21:31 | 39 |
| 15 | JKT Tanzania | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 34:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Gwambina | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:37 | 35 |
| 17 | Singida Black Stars | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 22:41 | 35 |
| 18 | Mwadui | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 24:69 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
