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Myanmar vs Macau

World World

World Championship 2026 Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Aung Lwin Moe
42'
Ng W.
46'
Sub
Pang C. H. In: Seng L. C.
Out: Pang C. H.

AI Match Summary

Myanmar in this World Championship 2026 tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Myanmar
6%
Draws
4%
Macau
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Myanmar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Myanmar lately — more wins on the board than Macau.
  • Model gives Myanmar a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Myanmar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Myanmar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Myanmar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Myanmar Clean Sheet 68%
Macau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Myanmar Macau
Matches Played 33 27
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 2
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.13 0.4
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2023 World Championship
Macau vs Myanmar
0:0
Oct 12, 2023 World Championship
Myanmar vs Macau
5:1
Jun 19, 2023 Friendly International
Macau vs Myanmar
0:2
Mar 27, 2018 Asian Cup
Myanmar vs Macau
1:0
Jun 13, 2017 Asian Cup
Macau vs Myanmar
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Myanmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung Lwin Moe
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kyaw S. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Niki
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.36
Avg xA / game 0.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Myanmar 95 / 100
Macau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Myanmar Macau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MYA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Difficult form: Macau registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Myanmar scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Myanmar VS Macau
1.13 Goals Scored 0.4
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.8
88% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Myanmar

(Home)
18 Jul
Vietnam
4 : 0
Myanmar
09 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Myanmar
06 Jun
Myanmar
6 : 1
Guam
31 Mar
Pakistan
1 : 2
Myanmar
26 Mar
Afghanistan
1 : 2
Myanmar
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Macau

(Away)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
19 Mar
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Macau
14 Dec
Macau
1 : 2
Guam
10 Sept
Macau
0 : 1
Brunei
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Afghanistan2
Mongolia0
Maldives2
Bangladesh3
Singapore3
Guam1
Yemen4
Sri Lanka1
Myanmar5
Macau1
Cambodia0
Pakistan1
Chinese Taipei7
Timor-Leste0
Indonesia12
Brunei0
Hong Kong4
Bhutan2
Nepal2
Laos1