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Mzuzu City vs Mighty Wanderers FC

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Kamwendo P.
74' Event
Olatibosan S.
90' Event
Nyirenda I.

AI Match Summary

Mzuzu City in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mzuzu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mzuzu City
6%
Draws
90%
Mighty Wanderers FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mighty Wanderers FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mighty Wanderers FC lately — more wins on the board than Mzuzu City.
  • Mighty Wanderers FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Mzuzu City Clean Sheet 10%
Mighty Wanderers FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mzuzu City Mighty Wanderers FC
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 21
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 0.8 2
Goals Conceded 2.4 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.40 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Castel Challenge Cup
Mzuzu City vs Mighty Wanderers FC
2:1
Dec 3, 2025 Super League
Mzuzu City vs Mighty Wanderers FC
2:1
Jul 19, 2025 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Mzuzu City
1:0
Dec 21, 2024 Castel Challenge Cup
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Mzuzu City
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Mzuzu City
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mzuzu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Olatibosan S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nyirenda I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4

Mighty Wanderers FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamwendo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mzuzu City 10 / 100
Mighty Wanderers FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mzuzu City Mighty Wanderers FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Mzuzu City scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Mighty Wanderers FC conceded in 38% of 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Mzuzu City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mzuzu City VS Mighty Wanderers FC
0.8 Goals Scored 2
2.4 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mighty Wanderers FC30209151:1469
2Big Bullets30213660:2066
3Silver Strikers301810250:1864
4Blue Eagles30139838:3048
5Civo Utd30138939:2147
6Karonga United301351231:2844
7Ekhaya301331436:2842
8Creck Sporting301191025:2742
9Moyale Barracks3010101028:4040
10Kamuzu Barracks301161331:3539
11Chitipa United309101123:3037
12Dedza Dynamos30881424:3332
13MAFCO30871529:3731
14Mzuzu City30771626:4928
15Mighty Tigers30691521:3527
16Songwe Border30132610:776