Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nacao vs Fluminense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Nacao Logo

Nacao

1 - 2
FT
Fluminense-SC Logo

Fluminense-SC

Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Gustavo Modesto
82' Event
Giehl N. F.
90' Event
da Silva G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Nacao and Fluminense-SC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fluminense-SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Nacao
17%
Draws
13%
Fluminense-SC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Nacao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Fluminense-SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nacao are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Nacao Clean Sheet 68%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacao Fluminense-SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 13 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs Fluminense-SC
1:2
May 16, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Nacao
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs Fluminense-SC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacao Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Modesto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Fluminense-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Giehl N. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Silva G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacao 77 / 100
Fluminense-SC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacao Fluminense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fluminense-SC conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Nacao went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nacao's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nacao VS Fluminense-SC
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacao

(Home)
25 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Hercilio Luz
22 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Nacao
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2
Caravaggio
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2
Nacao
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
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Fluminense-SC

(Away)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz18133235:1042
2CA Metropolitano18122436:1838
3Caravaggio18105347:2035
4Blumenau1894535:1531
5Tubarao1865723:2123
6Guarani de Palhoca1865724:2423
7Nacao1856719:2621
8Fluminense-SC1863916:2521
9Gremio Juventus18521117:2617
10Jaragua-SC1801176:731
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)