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Stadium Background

Nacao vs Blumenau

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Nacao Logo

Nacao

0 - 6
FT
Blumenau Logo

Blumenau

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Caio Mota
27'
Thiago
29' Event
Caio Mota
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Blumenau in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blumenau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nacao
20%
Draws
40%
Blumenau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Blumenau have won more games recently than Nacao.
  • Model gives Blumenau a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Nacao Clean Sheet 17%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacao Blumenau
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 5 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Nacao
0:2
Jun 3, 2026 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs Blumenau
0:6
Sep 28, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Blumenau vs Nacao
5:1
Sep 23, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Nacao vs Blumenau
0:2
Jul 12, 2025 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Nacao
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Mota
2 Goals
Assists Leader Anthonio Sergio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacao 23 / 100
Blumenau 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacao Blumenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blumenau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Nacao's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Blumenau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Blumenau lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacao VS Blumenau
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacao

(Home)
19 Sept
Nacao
0 : 4
Joinville
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0
Nacao
06 Sept
Nacao
2 : 2
Santa Catarina
25 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Hercilio Luz
22 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Nacao
Page 1 of 6

Blumenau

(Away)
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1
Santa Catarina
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)