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Nacao vs Blumenau

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Caio Mota
27'
Thiago
29' Event
Caio Mota

AI Match Summary

Blumenau in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blumenau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nacao
30%
Draws
34%
Blumenau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nacao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Blumenau have won more games recently than Nacao.
  • Model gives Nacao a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Nacao Clean Sheet 68%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacao Blumenau
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 4 16
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs Blumenau
0:6
Sep 28, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Blumenau vs Nacao
5:1
Sep 23, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Nacao vs Blumenau
0:2
Jul 12, 2025 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Nacao
2:2
Jun 12, 2022 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs Blumenau
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Mota
2 Goals
Assists Leader Anthonio Sergio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacao 46 / 100
Blumenau 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacao Blumenau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Blumenau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Nacao stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Nacao scored in 58% of their last 26 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacao VS Blumenau
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz16122233:938
2CA Metropolitano16102431:1832
3Caravaggio1694344:1931
4Blumenau1684432:1328
5Tubarao1665522:1723
6Fluminense-SC1653814:2118
7Nacao1646616:2418
8Gremio Juventus1652916:2117
9Guarani de Palhoca1645715:2417
10Jaragua-SC1601156:631