Sport Picks
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 vs EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
Brazil
Copa do Brasil U20 2021 
Match Events
2'
2'
Gabriel Castro
23'
23'
Davis SIlva
45'
45'
Jonilson Careca
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-5, with EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 come out ahead of Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 on wins alone.
- Model gives Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 a 42% chance of winning this.
- EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor EC Sao Jose (PA) U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 Clean Sheet 20%
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 | EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 10, 2021 Copa do Brasil U20
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 vs EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Gabriel Castro
1 Goals Assists Leader Davis SIlva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 42 / 100
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.
Solid form: Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (17 games).
Scoring Trends
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 VS EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20
(Home) 10 Jan
Sao Jose EC U20
1 : 0 Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20
07 Jan
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20
0 : 3 EC Juventude U20
04 Jan
AC Guaratingueta U20
0 : 2 Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20
09 Sept
Amazonas U20
0 : 2 Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20
02 Sept
Fast Clube U20
1 : 2 Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20
Page 1 of 4
07 Jan
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20
0 : 3 EC Juventude U20
26 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20
1 : 0 RB do Norte U20
22 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20
0 : 0 Manaus FC U20
10 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20
7 : 0 Seven MEC U20
31 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20
8 : 0 Sul America U20
Page 1 of 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
(Away) 28 Jun
EC Juventude U20
2 : 1 EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
13 Jun
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
1 : 1 EC Juventude U20
06 Jun
Ypiranga FC U20
1 : 3 EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
01 Jun
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
3 : 0 Ypiranga FC U20
24 May
EC Juventude U20
2 : 0 EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
Page 1 of 7
28 Jun
EC Juventude U20
2 : 1 EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
06 Jun
Ypiranga FC U20
1 : 3 EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
24 May
EC Juventude U20
2 : 0 EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
11 Apr
Brasil de Farroupilha U20
1 : 0 EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
29 Mar
Sao Luiz U20
1 : 3 EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Coritiba U208
Uniao Rondonopolis U200
Perilima U201
Bahia U204
Atletico-MG U201
Fluminense Piaui U200
Galvez U205
Londrina U201
Sao Raimundo RR U202
Atletico GO U201
Vasco U206
Planaltina U200
Tupi U204
Serra U201
Jacioba U200
Internacional U208
ABC U205
Bragantino PA U201
Trem U201
Avai U203
Palmeiras U208
Medici U200
Real Ariquemes U200
Nautico U203
Uniao ABC U201
Corinthians U200
Confianca U200
Floresta EC U201
Botafogo RJ U2010
EC Castelo U200
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U201
EC Sao Jose (PA) U205
1/8-finals
Coritiba U203
Bahia U202
Atletico-MG U207
Galvez U202
Sao Raimundo RR U203
Vasco U207
Tupi U201
Internacional U209
ABC U203
Avai U204
Palmeiras U206
Nautico U201
Uniao ABC U201
Floresta EC U207
Botafogo RJ U203
EC Sao Jose (PA) U201
Quarter-finals
Coritiba U204
Atletico-MG U202
Vasco U202
Internacional U204
Avai U202
Palmeiras U201
Floresta EC U201
Botafogo RJ U205
Semi-finals
Coritiba U204
Internacional U203
Avai U201
Botafogo RJ U202
Final
Coritiba U203
Botafogo RJ U202
