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Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 vs Sul America U20

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 play Sul America U20 in the Amazonense U20 2025. Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 are favorites here. Recently, Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 averaged 2.18 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Sul America U20 averaged 1.08 goals scored and 3.08 conceded. In past meetings, Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 won 1, Sul America U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 31, 2025 ended 8:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 and 1.00 for Sul America U20. This points to a Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20
25%
Draws
15%
Sul America U20
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 picked up more points recently compared to Sul America U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 Clean Sheet 23%
Sul America U20 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 Sul America U20
Matches Played 17 13
Wins 9 2
Draws 1 2
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.18 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.59 3.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2025 Amazonense U20
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 vs Sul America U20
8:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 59 / 100
Sul America U20 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 Sul America U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 attacking → ← attacking Sul America U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 scored in 59% of their last 17 games.

Sul America U20 let in goals in 92% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sul America U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 8
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fast Clube U20550015:315
2Amazonas U20540115:412
3RB do Norte U20530210:119
4Unidos do Alvorada U20520311:146
5Taruma U2051044:123
6Cliper U2050052:13-3
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manauara U20660033:218
2Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20641124:513
3Manaus FC U20631211:610
4Seven MEC U2062049:226
5Princesa do Solimoes U2062048:146
6Sul America U2061144:184
7Manicore U2061149:310