Sport Picks
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Araguaina Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Serie D 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Nacional-AM (Manaus) carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Araguaina a 29% chance of winning this.
- Nacional-AM (Manaus) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 23%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | Araguaina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 0.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Serie D
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Araguaina
0:0
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
Araguaina vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 29 / 100
Araguaina 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Araguaina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Araguaina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Nacional-AM (Manaus) scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Araguaina let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.
Recent resilience: Nacional-AM (Manaus) stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Nacional-AM (Manaus) VS Araguaina
1 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
(Home) 03 Sept
CSA
0 : 0 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1 CSA
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2 ABC
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1 CSA
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2 ABC
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1 Iguatu
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0 Capital
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0 Araguaina
Page 1 of 4
Araguaina
(Away) 28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0 Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0 Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2 Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1 Porto Velho
Page 1 of 7
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0 Araguaina
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2 Araguaina
17 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
1 : 0 Araguaina
10 May
SC Humaita
0 : 7 Araguaina
19 Apr
Porto Velho
1 : 2 Araguaina
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
