Sport Picks
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción 
Match Events
24'
24'
Feliu J.
29'
29'
Camacho N.
(Penalty)
32'
32'
Sub
Ramirez Antunez R. C. In: Coronel M.
Out: Ramirez Antunez R. C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Nacional Asuncion advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nacional Asuncion come out ahead of Sportivo Trinidense on wins alone.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Nacional Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nacional Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional Asuncion | Sportivo Trinidense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 12 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
2:1
Mar 9, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
0:0
Oct 2, 2025 Copa Paraguay
Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacional Asuncion 41 / 100
Sportivo Trinidense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacional Asuncion Sportivo Trinidense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nacional Asuncion scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Solid form: Nacional Asuncion remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Sportivo Trinidense has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Nacional Asuncion VS Sportivo Trinidense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional Asuncion
(Home) 25 Jul
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
24 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
15 May
Rubio Nu
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
03 May
Guarani
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
24 Apr
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Recoleta
11 Apr
Nacional Asuncion
0 : 0 Cerro Porteno
27 Mar
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Trinidense
(Away) 24 Jul
Cerro Porteno
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1 Cerro Porteno
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
01 May
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Cerro Porteno
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
25 Apr
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
12 Apr
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
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