Sport Picks

Uruguay

Copa Uruguay 2023

Nacional Nueva Helvecia

1 - 2

Progreso

Our Tip

Match Events

34'

Alfonso L.

48'

Rodriguez F.

80'

Mallet N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Progreso in this Copa Uruguay 2023 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Nacional Nueva Helvecia

20%

Draws

38%

Progreso

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacional Nueva Helvecia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Progreso lately — more wins on the board than Nacional Nueva Helvecia.
42% — that's where the model lands on Nacional Nueva Helvecia taking it.
Progreso arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Progreso, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Nacional Nueva Helvecia Clean Sheet 20%

Progreso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nacional Nueva Helvecia	Progreso
Matches Played	3	30
Wins	1	9
Draws	0	5
Losses	2	16
Goals Scored	0	1.13
Goals Conceded	0	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2023 Copa Uruguay

Nacional Nueva Helvecia vs Progreso

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional Nueva Helvecia Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfonso L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Progreso Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mallet N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Nueva Helvecia 42 / 100

Progreso 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nacional Nueva Helvecia Progreso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Nueva Helvecia's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 3 recent games.

Progreso has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Progreso has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Progreso

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 1.5

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional Nueva Helvecia

(Home)

06 Aug

Nacional Nueva Helvecia

1 : 3

Central Esp.

19 Oct

Nacional Nueva Helvecia

1 : 2

Progreso

21 Sept

Nacional Nueva Helvecia

2 : 1

Villa Espanola

Progreso

(Away)

18 Jul

Progreso

1 : 0

Maldonado

11 Jul

Wanderers

2 : 0

Progreso

07 Jun

Progreso

1 : 2

Albion

30 May

Danubio

1 : 2

Progreso

23 May

Progreso

1 : 2

Montevideo City

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Huracan Buceo1

Ferro Carril2

TBD-

Bella Vista-

TBD-

CA Cerro-

Tacuarembo-

TBD-

Fenix-

Wanderers Durazno0

Terremoto2

TBD-

Miramar-

TBD-

Wanderers-

Juventud Colonia2

Salto FC1

TBD-

Albion-

TBD-

River Plate Montevideo-

Cooper0

Libertad San Carlos1

TBD-

Uruguay Montevideo FC-

TBD-

Plaza Colonia-

TBD-

Defensor Sp.-

Campana1

Club Atletico Basanez2

TBD-

Cerrito-

Quilmes2

Central Esp.1

TBD-

Rampla Juniors-

TBD-

La Luz-

Lavalleja (Minas)-

Rocha-

TBD-

Juventud-

TBD-

Danubio-

Huracan (Treinta y Tres)0

Lito1

TBD-

Sud America-

TBD-

Penarol-

Universitario Salto-

TBD-

Boston River-

Salus0

Atletico Juanico4

TBD-

Atenas-

TBD-

Liverpool M.-

Colon2

Paysandu Bella Vista1

TBD-

Potencia-

TBD-

Club Nacional-

Nacional Nueva Helvecia2

Villa Espanola1

TBD-

Progreso-

TBD-

Montevideo City-

Central San Jose-

TBD-

Maldonado-

Deutscher0

Sportivo Barracas1

TBD-

Rentistas-

TBD-

Cerro Largo-

Club Oriental De Futbol-

TBD-

Racing Montevideo-

1/32-finals

Ferro Carril1

Bella Vista0

TBD-

CA Cerro-

Tacuarembo-

TBD-

Fenix-

Terremoto1

Miramar2

TBD-

Wanderers-

Juventud Colonia0

Albion5

TBD-

River Plate Montevideo-

Libertad San Carlos0

Uruguay Montevideo FC2

TBD-

Plaza Colonia-

TBD-

Defensor Sp.-

Club Atletico Basanez0

Cerrito1

Quilmes1

Rampla Juniors2

TBD-

La Luz-

Lavalleja (Minas)2

Juventud1

TBD-

Danubio-

Lito0

Sud America2

TBD-

Penarol-

Universitario Salto-

TBD-

Boston River-

Atletico Juanico1

Atenas2

TBD-

Liverpool M.-

Colon2

Potencia3

TBD-

Club Nacional-

Nacional Nueva Helvecia1

Progreso2

TBD-

Montevideo City-

Central San Jose-

TBD-

Maldonado-

Sportivo Barracas2

Rentistas1

TBD-

Cerro Largo-

Club Oriental De Futbol-

TBD-

Racing Montevideo-

1/16-finals

Ferro Carril0

CA Cerro1

Tacuarembo1

Fenix2

Miramar0

Wanderers1

Albion0

River Plate Montevideo2

Uruguay Montevideo FC1

Plaza Colonia2

Defensor Sp.3

Cerrito0

Rampla Juniors2

La Luz3

Lavalleja (Minas)1

Danubio3

Sud America0

Penarol3

Universitario Salto1

Boston River3

Atenas2

Liverpool M.3

Potencia0

Club Nacional4

Progreso1

Montevideo City2

Central San Jose0

Maldonado1

Sportivo Barracas3

Cerro Largo2

Club Oriental De Futbol1

Racing Montevideo0

1/8-finals

CA Cerro2

Fenix1

Wanderers0

River Plate Montevideo4

Plaza Colonia0

Defensor Sp.1

La Luz0

Danubio1

Penarol2

Boston River0

Liverpool M.2

Club Nacional1

Montevideo City2

Maldonado0

Sportivo Barracas2

Club Oriental De Futbol1

Quarter-finals

CA Cerro1

River Plate Montevideo2

Defensor Sp.1

Danubio0

Penarol3

Liverpool M.1

Montevideo City8

Sportivo Barracas1

Semi-finals

River Plate Montevideo1

Defensor Sp.2

Penarol1

Montevideo City3

Final

Defensor Sp.3

Montevideo City2