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Nacional SP W vs Sao Bernardo W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nacional SP W in this Paulista Women 2010 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacional SP W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nacional SP W
39%
Draws
30%
Sao Bernardo W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Bernardo W average 0.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Nacional SP W's 0.38.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Nacional SP W Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Bernardo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional SP W Sao Bernardo W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 5
Draws 4 7
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 0.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 4 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2010 Paulista Women
Nacional SP W vs Sao Bernardo W
3:0
May 15, 2010 Paulista Women
Sao Bernardo W vs Nacional SP W
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional SP W 30 / 100
Sao Bernardo W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional SP W Sao Bernardo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Bernardo W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Sao Bernardo W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Nacional SP W found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Nacional SP W VS Sao Bernardo W
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
4 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional SP W

(Home)
13 Oct
Nacional SP W
1 : 7
Palmeiras W
10 Oct
Portuguesa W
3 : 2
Nacional SP W
07 Oct
Sao Jose W
2 : 0
Nacional SP W
03 Oct
Nacional SP W
2 : 0
Pinda Ferroviaria W
01 Oct
Ferroviaria W
4 : 0
Nacional SP W
Page 1 of 6

Sao Bernardo W

(Away)
05 Jul
Portuguesa W
1 : 2
Sao Bernardo W
28 Jun
Sao Bernardo W
0 : 2
Sao Jose W
21 Jun
Sao Bernardo W
1 : 1
Centro Olimpico W
14 Jun
Santos W
5 : 0
Sao Bernardo W
07 Jun
Sao Bernardo W
1 : 2
Taubate W
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rio Preto W16114183:937
2Ferroviaria W16113264:1036
3Francana W16102446:1332
4Botucatu W16102444:1232
5Sao Judas Tadeu W1694335:1831
6Marilia W1663750:3621
7Jaguariuna W1621137:967
8Sao Bento W16201414:796
9Paulista W1611149:794
Promotion - Paulista Women 2010 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santos W16160067:348
2Sao Jose W16140250:742
3Sao Caetano W16101540:2331
4Portuguesa W1691640:2028
5CA Juventus W1682619:2326
6Palmeiras W16421025:3514
7Nacional SP W16331012:4612
8Taboao da Serra W16301315:489
9Sao Bernardo W16011514:771
Promotion - Paulista Women 2010 (Second stage)