Sport Picks
Nacional Sucre vs Independiente Recreo
Bolivia
Nacional B 2023 
AI Match Summary
The Nacional B 2023 game between Nacional Sucre and Independiente Recreo finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional Sucre.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nacional Sucre
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nacional Sucre come out ahead of Independiente Recreo on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Nacional Sucre taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Nacional Sucre Clean Sheet 20%
Independiente Recreo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional Sucre | Independiente Recreo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 8 |
| Wins | 6 | 0 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 3.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 3.20 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 8, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Nacional Sucre vs Independiente Recreo
4:1
May 28, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Independiente Recreo vs Nacional Sucre
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacional Sucre 85 / 100
Independiente Recreo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacional Sucre Independiente Recreo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nacional Sucre found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (20 games).
Independiente Recreo has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Independiente Recreo's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Nacional Sucre VS Independiente Recreo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.6
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.2
75% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional Sucre
(Home) 27 Sept
Nueva Cliza
0 : 0 Nacional Sucre
21 Sept
Torre Fuerte
2 : 1 Nacional Sucre
15 Sept
Nacional Sucre
2 : 4 Real Potosi
06 Sept
Nacional Sucre
3 : 2 Torre Fuerte
31 Aug
Real Potosi
2 : 0 Nacional Sucre
Page 1 of 4
15 Sept
Nacional Sucre
2 : 4 Real Potosi
06 Sept
Nacional Sucre
3 : 2 Torre Fuerte
24 Aug
Nacional Sucre
1 : 2 Nueva Cliza
04 Nov
Nacional Sucre
1 : 3 Municipal de Tarija
21 Oct
Nacional Sucre
1 : 2 Hiska Nacional
Page 1 of 2
Independiente Recreo
(Away) 15 Jul
Fancesa
6 : 0 Independiente Recreo
12 Jul
Independiente Recreo
2 : 3 Atletico Sucre
08 Jul
Nacional Sucre
4 : 1 Independiente Recreo
02 Jul
Independiente Recreo
0 : 1 Deportivo Aleman
18 Jun
Independiente Recreo
0 : 2 Fancesa
Page 1 of 2
15 Jul
Fancesa
6 : 0 Independiente Recreo
08 Jul
Nacional Sucre
4 : 1 Independiente Recreo
11 Jun
Atletico Sucre
6 : 2 Independiente Recreo
21 May
Deportivo Aleman
3 : 0 Independiente Recreo
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario Beni | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo del Beni | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Alianza Beni | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Los Almendros | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | 2 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fancesa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Nacional Sucre | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:9 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Aleman | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 4 | Atletico Sucre | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 11 |
| 5 | Independiente Recreo | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6:27 | 0 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Pasion Celeste | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Real Mizque | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Enrique Happ | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:7 | 10 |
| 5 | Israel University | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4:27 | 0 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fatic | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Academia del Balompie | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 24:9 | 12 |
| 3 | Hiska Nacional | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Chaco Petrolero | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 5 | Huayna Potosi Palcoco | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7:42 | -2 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GV San Jose | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 23:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Sur-Car | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 3 | Real Oruro | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 20:9 | 12 |
| 4 | Em Huanuni | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 8 |
| 5 | CM Poopo | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4:36 | 3 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario de Pando | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Real Mapajo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 0 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Potosi | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Stormers SL | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Huracan Tupiza | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0:19 | 1 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25:8 | 19 |
| 2 | Torre Fuerte | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 3 | 24 de Septiembre | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 12 |
| 4 | River 66 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:22 | 5 |
| 5 | Universidad Crucena | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 5 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Municipal de Tarija | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 2 | Municipalidad de Yacuiba | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 3 | Atletico Bermejo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Ciclon | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:8 | 7 |
| 5 | Garcia Agreda | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5:14 | 4 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
