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Nadur vs Oratory

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Nadur advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nadur
15%
Draws
0%
Oratory
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nadur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nadur come out ahead of Oratory on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nadur a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Nadur have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nadur, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 79%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Nadur Clean Sheet 20%
Oratory Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nadur Oratory
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 17 5
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 2.58 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.58 3.56
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 8, 2021 FA Trophy
Nadur vs Oratory
7:0
Sep 13, 2019 FA Trophy
Nadur vs Oratory
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nadur 85 / 100
Oratory 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nadur Oratory

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nadur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Oratory conceded in 83% of 18 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Oratory lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Nadur scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nadur VS Oratory
3.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 5.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 83%
75% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Nadur

(Home)
01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0
Nadur
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4
Birzebbuga
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1
Nadur
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2
Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2
St. Andrews
Page 1 of 7

Oratory

(Away)
07 Dec
Zebbug
6 : 1
Oratory
13 Dec
Oratory
0 : 2
Fgura
16 Nov
Naxxar Lions
5 : 1
Oratory
08 Dec
Nadur
7 : 0
Oratory
27 Dec
Oratory
1 : 8
Zebbug
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Floriana -
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Zurrieq -
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Melita -
Gzira -
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Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
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Sannat Lions -
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Gharghur -
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Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
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Vittoriosa -
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Nadur -
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Oratory -
Balzan FC -
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San Gwann -
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Marsa -
Sliema -
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Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints -
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Dingli Swallows -
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Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
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St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
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Gharb -
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St. Lawrence 0
Xewkija 5
Mgarr -
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Mtarfa -
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Ghaxaq 4
Zebbug Rovers 1
Marsaxlokk -
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St. Andrews -
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Valletta -
Kirkop 2
Kercem Ajax 3
Xbiex 1
Munxar 2
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Fgura -
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Sirens -
Zebbug -
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Kalkara -
Xaghra 2
St. Venera 0
Victoria Wanderers 2
Ghajnsielem 3
Siggiewi 1
Marsaskala FC 0
Victoria Hotspurs 7
Mdina 0
Gudja -
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Qrendi -
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Lija -
Pembroke -
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Xghajra -
Msida -
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Attard -
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Zabbar -
Zejtun -
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Naxxar Lions -
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Hibernians -
Qormi -
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Luqa -
Mellieha -
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Swieqi -
Tarxien -
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Hamrun -
1/64-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 0
Gharghur 1
TBD -
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Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
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TBD -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
Nadur 4
Oratory 0
Balzan FC -
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San Gwann -
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Marsa -
Sliema -
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Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints 2
Dingli Swallows 3
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Gharb 0
Xewkija 2
Mgarr -
TBD -
Mtarfa 0
Ghaxaq 2
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
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St. Andrews -
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Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 5
Munxar 0
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Fgura -
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Sirens -
Zebbug -
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Kalkara -
Xaghra 3
Ghajnsielem 1
Siggiewi 0
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Gudja -
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Qrendi -
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Lija -
Pembroke -
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Xghajra -
Msida 1
Attard 2
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Zabbar -
Zejtun -
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Naxxar Lions -
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Hibernians -
Qormi -
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Luqa -
Mellieha -
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Swieqi -
Tarxien -
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Hamrun -
1/32-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
Zurrieq 0
Melita 2
Gzira -
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Senglea -
Rabat Ajax 4
Gharghur 1
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Vittoriosa 0
Nadur 3
Balzan FC -
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San Gwann 2
Marsa 0
Sliema -
TBD -
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Santa Lucia -
Dingli Swallows 1
Mqabba FC 3
Pieta 4
St. George's FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Xewkija 7
Mgarr 5
Ghaxaq 1
Marsaxlokk 1
St. Andrews 3
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Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 2
Fgura 1
TBD -
Sirens -
Zebbug 3
Kalkara 1
Xaghra 0
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Qrendi 0
Lija 5
Pembroke 3
Xghajra 0
Attard 0
Zabbar 1
Zejtun 2
Naxxar Lions 1
TBD -
Hibernians -
Qormi 1
Luqa 0
Mellieha 1
Swieqi 4
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
1/16-finals
Floriana 6
Melita 1
Gzira 1
Senglea 2
Rabat Ajax 0
Mosta FC 7
Birkirkara 1
Nadur 0
Balzan FC 3
San Gwann 0
Sliema 0
Santa Lucia 2
Mqabba FC 0
Pieta 3
Xewkija 5
Mgarr 2
St. Andrews 0
Valletta 4
Kercem Ajax 1
Sirens 4
Zebbug 3
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Gudja 3
Lija 0
Pembroke 6
Zabbar 0
Zejtun 0
Hibernians 3
Qormi 2
Swieqi 3
Tarxien 1
Hamrun 2
1/8-finals
Floriana 2
Senglea 0
Mosta FC 1
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 2
Santa Lucia 0
Pieta 2
Xewkija 1
Valletta 4
Sirens 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Gudja 3
Pembroke 0
Hibernians 4
Swieqi 1
Hamrun 3
Quarter-finals
Floriana 2
Birkirkara 1
Balzan FC 0
Pieta 1
Valletta 2
Gudja 0
Hibernians 2
Hamrun 1
Semi-finals
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Final
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