Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nafta vs Primorje

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga 2025/2026 Športni park Lendava, Lendava
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Marosa A.
62'
Pirtovsek R.
71'
Sub
Poredos L. In: Verbic L.
Out: Poredos L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Nafta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nafta
15%
Draws
34%
Primorje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nafta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Primorje haven't matched Nafta's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Nafta taking it.
  • Nafta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nafta, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Nafta Clean Sheet 68%
Primorje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nafta Primorje
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 14 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.47 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.27 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Prva liga
Nafta vs Primorje
1:0
May 27, 2026 Prva liga
Primorje vs Nafta
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Prva liga
Primorje vs Nafta
2:2
Feb 21, 2025 Prva liga
Nafta vs Primorje
2:2
Oct 26, 2024 Prva liga
Primorje vs Nafta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Marosa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Primorje Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nafta 50 / 100
Primorje 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nafta Primorje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nafta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nafta found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Primorje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Primorje has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nafta VS Primorje
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nafta

(Home)
19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0
Nafta
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Nafta
Page 1 of 6

Primorje

(Away)
19 Sept
Vrhnika
2 : 1
Primorje
11 Sept
Primorje
2 : 3
Bilje
04 Sept
Ilirija
0 : 0
Primorje
28 Aug
Primorje
3 : 2
NK Krka
23 Aug
Beltinci
4 : 0
Primorje
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Primorje 0
Nafta 1