Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naftan W vs Dyussh-Polesgu W

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Women 2025 Atlant Stadium, Novopolotsk
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Cholyk E.
20' Event
Golik Y.
32' Event
Nemtseva S.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga Women 2025 game between Naftan W and Dyussh-Polesgu W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naftan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Naftan W
6%
Draws
4%
Dyussh-Polesgu W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Naftan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naftan W come out ahead of Dyussh-Polesgu W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Naftan W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Naftan W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%
Naftan W Clean Sheet 20%
Dyussh-Polesgu W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naftan W Dyussh-Polesgu W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 2
Draws 1 2
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 4.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 4.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Vysshaya Liga Women
Dyussh-Polesgu W vs Naftan W
0:7
Nov 9, 2025 Vysshaya Liga Women
Naftan W vs Dyussh-Polesgu W
4:1
Jul 26, 2025 Vysshaya Liga Women
Naftan W vs Dyussh-Polesgu W
5:0
May 3, 2025 Vysshaya Liga Women
Dyussh-Polesgu W vs Naftan W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naftan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stankevich K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikhan D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 2.06

Dyussh-Polesgu W Compare

Top Goalscorer Golik Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naftan W 85 / 100
Dyussh-Polesgu W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naftan W Dyussh-Polesgu W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Dyussh-Polesgu W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Dyussh-Polesgu W has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Naftan W found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Naftan W VS Dyussh-Polesgu W
4.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naftan W

(Home)
19 Jul
Naftan W
0 : 4
Minsk FK W
12 Jul
Dynamo Brest W
1 : 0
Naftan W
28 Jun
Naftan W
2 : 0
SKA-1938 Minsk W
20 Jun
Belarus U19 W
0 : 5
Naftan W
14 Jun
Naftan W
1 : 4
Dnepr Mogilev W
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Dyussh-Polesgu W

(Away)
18 Jul
Dyussh-Polesgu W
0 : 6
Din. Minsk W
11 Jul
Minsk FK W
12 : 0
Dyussh-Polesgu W
28 Jun
Dyussh-Polesgu W
0 : 4
Dynamo Brest W
20 Jun
SKA-1938 Minsk W
3 : 0
Dyussh-Polesgu W
14 Jun
Dyussh-Polesgu W
0 : 1
Belarus U19 W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Din. Minsk W302820136:1386
2Minsk FK W302334167:2372
3Dnepr Mogilev W30187572:2961
4Vitebsk W30194766:3661
5Dynamo Brest W30156968:3151
6SKA-1938 Minsk W301431379:4245
7Naftan W30931834:7630
8Belarus U19 W30691529:5927
9Belshina W30642035:11622
10Dyussh-Polesgu W30322514:14711
11FC Gomel W30132616:1446
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)