Sport Picks
Nairobi United vs Azam
Africa
CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi 
Match Events
13'
13'
Odhiambo D.
Assist: Karamor M.
17'
17'
Kitambala J.
Assist: Diaby Y.
45'
45'
Sub
Ochieng O. In: Waibi C.
Out: Ochieng O.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Azam advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Azam
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Nairobi United haven't matched Azam's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Azam arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Azam, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 17%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nairobi United | Azam |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 21 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 0.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.47 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Azam vs Nairobi United
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Nairobi United vs Azam
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nairobi United Compare
Top Goalscorer Odhiambo D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.36
Avg xA / game 0.23
Azam Compare
Top Goalscorer Kitambala J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nairobi United 36 / 100
Azam 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nairobi United Azam
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Azam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nairobi United scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Nairobi United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Azam let in goals in 34% of their last 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
Nairobi United VS Azam
0.2 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nairobi United
(Home) 31 May
Mahia
0 : 1 Nairobi United
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0 Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Posta Rangers
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0 Nairobi United
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0 Tusker
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0 Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Posta Rangers
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0 Tusker
03 May
Nairobi United
0 : 1 KCB
08 Apr
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Kakamega Homeboyz
Page 1 of 3
Azam
(Away) 16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2 Simba
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0 Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2 Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2 Azam
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1 Pamba
Page 1 of 7
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2 Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2 Azam
15 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 1 Azam
04 Jul
Simba
1 : 0 Azam
27 Jun
Coastal Union
0 : 2 Azam
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USM Alger | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Olympique de Safi | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Djoliba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | San Pedro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:14 | 3 |
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wydad Athletic | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:2 | 15 |
| 2 | AS Maniema | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 3 | Azam | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:11 | 0 |
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Belouizdad | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Otoho d'Oyo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Singida Black Stars | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Stellenbosch FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:9 | 5 |
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zamalek | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Al Masry | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Kaizer Chiefs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Zesco | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:8 | 3 |
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
