Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nairobi United vs Azam

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup Nyayo National Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nairobi United play Azam in the CAF Confederation Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nairobi United averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Azam averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.55 conceded. In past meetings, Nairobi United won 0, Azam won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 1, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.58 for Nairobi United and 1.35 for Azam. This points to a Azam double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Nairobi United
25%
Draws
48%
Azam
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Nairobi United picked up more points recently compared to Azam.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.58 vs 1.35 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 18%
Azam Clean Sheet 21%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nairobi United Azam
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 10 24
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.83 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Azam vs Nairobi United
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Nairobi United vs Azam
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nairobi United Compare

Top Goalscorer Odhiambo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Kitambala J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nairobi United 28 / 100
Azam 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nairobi United Azam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Azam or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nairobi United attacking → ← attacking Azam

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nairobi United scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Azam let in goals in 29% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Nairobi United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Azam lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 79
0.67 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.83 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1USM Alger64209:414
2Olympique de Safi64117:413
3Djoliba61145:74
4San Pedro61058:143
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wydad Athletic65019:215
2AS Maniema64028:312
3Azam63034:69
4Nairobi United60061:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CR Belouizdad650111:515
2Otoho d'Oyo630310:69
3Singida Black Stars61233:65
4Stellenbosch FC61232:95
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zamalek63216:411
2Al Masry63129:710
3Kaizer Chiefs63127:610
4Zesco61053:83