Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naivas FC vs Equity Bank

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Naivas FC and Equity Bank finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Naivas FC
39%
Draws
31%
Equity Bank
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Naivas FC haven't matched Equity Bank's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Naivas FC Clean Sheet 20%
Equity Bank Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naivas FC Equity Bank
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 18
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 2.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.38 0
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Super League
Naivas FC vs Equity Bank
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Super League
Equity Bank vs Naivas FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naivas FC 31 / 100
Equity Bank 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naivas FC Equity Bank

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naivas FC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Naivas FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Equity Bank let in goals in 45% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Naivas FC VS Equity Bank
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naivas FC

(Home)
13 Jun
Naivas FC
1 : 1
Mombasa United
07 Jun
Kabati
2 : 1
Naivas FC
01 Jun
Naivas FC
2 : 0
Vihiga United
28 May
Mwatate United
0 : 2
Naivas FC
24 May
Nzoia Sugar
0 : 1
Naivas FC
Page 1 of 6

Equity Bank

(Away)
13 Jun
Equity Bank
2 : 0
Mwatate United
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1
Equity Bank
01 Jun
Equity Bank
1 : 0
Soy United
27 May
Fortune Sacco
0 : 4
Equity Bank
23 May
3K FC
0 : 0
Equity Bank
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)