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Naivas FC vs Kibera

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naivas FC in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naivas FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Naivas FC
6%
Draws
4%
Kibera
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Naivas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Naivas FC have won more games recently than Kibera.
  • Win probability leans Naivas FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Naivas FC Clean Sheet 68%
Kibera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naivas FC Kibera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Super League
Naivas FC vs Kibera
2:1
Jan 24, 2026 Super League
Kibera vs Naivas FC
1:1
Mar 14, 2025 Super League
Kibera vs Naivas FC
0:1
Nov 16, 2024 Super League
Naivas FC vs Kibera
0:0
Apr 20, 2024 Super League
Naivas FC vs Kibera
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naivas FC 95 / 100
Kibera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naivas FC Kibera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Naivas FC scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Kibera conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Naivas FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Naivas FC VS Kibera
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naivas FC

(Home)
13 Jun
Naivas FC
1 : 1
Mombasa United
07 Jun
Kabati
2 : 1
Naivas FC
01 Jun
Naivas FC
2 : 0
Vihiga United
28 May
Mwatate United
0 : 2
Naivas FC
24 May
Nzoia Sugar
0 : 1
Naivas FC
Page 1 of 6

Kibera

(Away)
13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0
Kibera
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
27 May
Kibera
1 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
23 May
Migori
1 : 0
Kibera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)