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Naivas FC vs Kisumu All-Stars

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Naivas FC and Kisumu All-Stars finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naivas FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Naivas FC
6%
Draws
4%
Kisumu All-Stars
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Naivas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Naivas FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Naivas FC taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Naivas FC Clean Sheet 20%
Kisumu All-Stars Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naivas FC Kisumu All-Stars
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Super League
Naivas FC vs Kisumu All-Stars
4:0
Dec 12, 2025 Super League
Kisumu All-Stars vs Naivas FC
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Super League
Kisumu All-Stars vs Naivas FC
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Super League
Naivas FC vs Kisumu All-Stars
2:1
Mar 10, 2024 Super League
Kisumu All-Stars vs Naivas FC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naivas FC 85 / 100
Kisumu All-Stars 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naivas FC Kisumu All-Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Naivas FC scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Kisumu All-Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Naivas FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naivas FC VS Kisumu All-Stars
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Naivas FC

(Home)
13 Jun
Naivas FC
1 : 1
Mombasa United
07 Jun
Kabati
2 : 1
Naivas FC
01 Jun
Naivas FC
2 : 0
Vihiga United
28 May
Mwatate United
0 : 2
Naivas FC
24 May
Nzoia Sugar
0 : 1
Naivas FC
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Kisumu All-Stars

(Away)
13 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
Vihiga United
07 Jun
Darajani Gogo
2 : 1
Kisumu All-Stars
01 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
0 : 1
Migori
28 May
Soy United
0 : 0
Kisumu All-Stars
24 May
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
MOFA
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)