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Nakambala Leopards vs Kansanshi

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2019/2020
Thu, Aug 27, 2020
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nakambala Leopards play Kansanshi in the Super League 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nakambala Leopards averaged 0.52 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Kansanshi averaged 1.08 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. In past meetings, Nakambala Leopards won 0, Kansanshi won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 27, 2020 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Nakambala Leopards and 1.11 for Kansanshi. This points to a Kansanshi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Nakambala Leopards
25%
Draws
54%
Kansanshi
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Kansanshi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nakambala Leopards picked up more points recently compared to Kansanshi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Nakambala Leopards Clean Sheet 21%
Kansanshi Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 51%
Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nakambala Leopards Kansanshi
Matches Played 23 36
Wins 4 15
Draws 4 11
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.52 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.72

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2020 Super League
Nakambala Leopards vs Kansanshi
0:0
Jan 5, 2020 Super League
Kansanshi vs Nakambala Leopards
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nakambala Leopards 23 / 100
Kansanshi 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nakambala Leopards Kansanshi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kansanshi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Kansanshi & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +27.4%
4.55
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nakambala Leopards attacking → ← attacking Kansanshi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nakambala Leopards scored in 43% of their last 23 games.

Kansanshi let in goals in 53% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Nakambala Leopards went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kansanshi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 56
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

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1Nkana27148535:1850
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6Power Dynamos27128734:1944
7Zanaco27128737:2644
8Kabwe271251029:2941
9Lusaka Dynamos27117933:2840
10Red Arrows27117926:2840
11Green Buffaloes FC27108928:2738
12Nkwazi27614718:2032
13Buildcon27881129:3532
14Lumwana Radiants27871221:2231
15Kansanshi276101119:2428
16Mufulira Wanderers27451817:3917
17Nakambala Leopards27451815:4517
18Kabwe Youth Academy (Kysa)27351916:5414