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Nam Dinh vs Ho Chi Minh

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 Thiên Trường Stadium, Nam Định
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Nguyen Thai Q. C. In: Nguyen Duc Phu
Out: Nguyen Thai Q. C.
42'
Williams L.
45'
Sub
Le V. T. In: Lam Ti Phong
Out: Le V. T.

AI Match Summary

The V.League 1 2025/2026 game between Nam Dinh and Ho Chi Minh finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nam Dinh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Nam Dinh
15%
Draws
26%
Ho Chi Minh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nam Dinh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Nam Dinh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nam Dinh's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nam Dinh Clean Sheet 12%
Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nam Dinh Ho Chi Minh
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.82 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 Vietnamese Cup
Nam Dinh vs Ho Chi Minh
2:4
May 1, 2026 V.League 1
Nam Dinh vs Ho Chi Minh
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Nam Dinh
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 V.League 1
Nam Dinh vs Ho Chi Minh
1:1
Nov 11, 2024 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Nam Dinh
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nam Dinh Compare

Top Goalscorer Brenner
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Van Vi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ho Chi Minh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nam Dinh 83 / 100
Ho Chi Minh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nam Dinh Ho Chi Minh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nam Dinh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nam Dinh found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Ho Chi Minh has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Nam Dinh stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nam Dinh VS Ho Chi Minh
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nam Dinh

(Home)
11 Sept
Da Nang
3 : 0
Nam Dinh
06 Sept
Nam Dinh
4 : 0
Gia Lai
11 Jun
Nam Dinh
2 : 4
Ho Chi Minh
07 Jun
Hai Phong
1 : 1
Nam Dinh
31 May
Nam Dinh
3 : 0
Song Lam Nghe An
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Ho Chi Minh

(Away)
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
05 Sept
Ho Chi Minh
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
30 Aug
Cong An Ha Noi
5 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
16 Aug
Ho Chi Minh
0 : 2
Long An
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)