Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nam Dinh vs Long An

Vietnam Vietnam

Vietnamese Cup 2025/2026 Thiên Trường Stadium, Nam Định
Nam Dinh Logo

Nam Dinh

2 - 0
FT
Long An Logo

Long An

Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Brenner
84' Event
Lam Ti Phong
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Nam Dinh advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nam Dinh
20%
Draws
29%
Long An
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nam Dinh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nam Dinh come out ahead of Long An on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Nam Dinh taking it.
  • Nam Dinh have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nam Dinh, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Nam Dinh Clean Sheet 68%
Long An Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nam Dinh Long An
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 16 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.82 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Vietnamese Cup
Nam Dinh vs Long An
2:0
Mar 30, 2019 Vietnamese Cup
Long An vs Nam Dinh
1:2
Jul 25, 2010 V.League 1
Long An vs Nam Dinh
1:0
Apr 11, 2010 V.League 1
Nam Dinh vs Long An
3:1
Jun 21, 2009 V.League 1
Long An vs Nam Dinh
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nam Dinh Compare

Top Goalscorer Brenner
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lam Ti Phong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Long An Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nam Dinh 68 / 100
Long An 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nam Dinh Long An

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nam Dinh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nam Dinh scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Long An's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Nam Dinh has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nam Dinh VS Long An
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nam Dinh

(Home)
11 Sept
Da Nang
3 : 0
Nam Dinh
06 Sept
Nam Dinh
4 : 0
Gia Lai
11 Jun
Nam Dinh
2 : 4
Ho Chi Minh
07 Jun
Hai Phong
1 : 1
Nam Dinh
31 May
Nam Dinh
3 : 0
Song Lam Nghe An
Page 1 of 7

Long An

(Away)
19 Sept
Long An
2 : 3
Bac Ninh
11 Sept
PVF-CAND
2 : 1
Long An
23 Aug
Long An
2 : 2
Aurora Saigon United
19 Aug
Long An
0 : 2
Binh Duong
16 Aug
Ho Chi Minh
0 : 2
Long An
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Hai Phong -
TBD -
Xuan Thien Phu Tho 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 4
PVF-CAND -
TBD -
Thanh Hoa 0
Gia Lai 2
Cong An Ha Noi -
TBD -
Viettel 1
Hanoi FC 0
Khanh Hoa -
Hoa Binh -
Van Hien 0
Bac Ninh 1
Song Lam Nghe An -
TBD -
Da Nang 2
Ho Chi Minh 2 0
Nam Dinh -
TBD -
Long An 2
Quy Nhon United 1
Ho Chi Minh -
TBD -
Ho Chi Minh City 1
Aurora Saigon United 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 3
Binh Duong 1
Hong Linh Ha Tinh 1
Thep Can Tho 0
1/8-finals
Hai Phong 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 2
PVF-CAND 1
Gia Lai 0
Cong An Ha Noi 2
Viettel 3
Khanh Hoa 0
Bac Ninh 1
Song Lam Nghe An 2
Da Nang 3
Nam Dinh 2
Long An 0
Ho Chi Minh 3
Ho Chi Minh City 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 2
Hong Linh Ha Tinh 0
Quarter-finals
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 3
PVF-CAND 2
Viettel 1
Bac Ninh 0
Da Nang 1
Nam Dinh 2
Ho Chi Minh 1
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 0
Semi-finals
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 4
Viettel 1
Nam Dinh 2
Ho Chi Minh 4
Final
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 1
Ho Chi Minh 2