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Namibia vs Malawi

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Dr. Petrus Molemela Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Muzeu B. In: Lifasi W.
Out: Muzeu B.
58'
Singo Y.
67'
Sub
Amutenya P. In: Stephanus W.
Out: Amutenya P.

AI Match Summary

The COSAFA Cup game between Namibia and Malawi finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Namibia
22%
Draws
60%
Malawi
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Malawi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malawi come out ahead of Namibia on wins alone.
  • Model gives Malawi a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Namibia Clean Sheet 16%
Malawi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Namibia Malawi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2025 World Championship
Namibia vs Malawi
1:2
Jun 8, 2025 COSAFA Cup
Namibia vs Malawi
0:0
Mar 20, 2025 World Championship
Malawi vs Namibia
0:1
Jul 13, 2021 COSAFA Cup
Malawi vs Namibia
1:1
May 28, 2019 COSAFA Cup
Namibia vs Malawi
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Namibia 19 / 100
Malawi 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Namibia Malawi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malawi let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Malawi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Namibia scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Namibia VS Malawi
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Africa31112:14
2Zimbabwe31113:34
3Mozambique31112:34
4Mauritius30300:03
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Angola32106:17
2Namibia31204:15
3Lesotho31021:73
4Malawi30120:21
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madagascar21102:14
2Tanzania21012:23
3Eswatini20112:31
4Morocco00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comoros21101:04
2Botswana20203:32
3Zambia20113:41