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Stadium Background

Nancy vs St Etienne

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Fdaouch Z.
Assist: Ztouti Z.
10'
Le Cardinal J.
45' Event
Davitashvili Z.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nancy
6%
Draws
4%
St Etienne
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nancy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St Etienne lately — more wins on the board than Nancy.
  • Model gives Nancy a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Nancy Clean Sheet 16%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nancy St Etienne
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ligue 2
Nancy vs St Etienne
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Nancy
2:1
May 20, 2017 Ligue 1
Nancy vs St Etienne
3:1
Dec 21, 2016 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Nancy
0:0
Dec 14, 2016 Coupe de la Ligue
St Etienne vs Nancy
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nancy Compare

Top Goalscorer Fdaouch Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

St Etienne Compare

Top Goalscorer Stassin L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nancy 84 / 100
St Etienne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nancy St Etienne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nancy scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

St Etienne has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Nancy went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nancy VS St Etienne
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nancy

(Home)
18 Jul
Thionville
2 : 2
Nancy
11 Jul
Nancy
1 : 3
Troyes
04 Jul
Nancy
8 : 0
FC Mamer
09 May
Nancy
3 : 2
Dunkerque
02 May
Pau
1 : 3
Nancy
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St Etienne

(Away)
18 Jul
Servette
1 : 0
St Etienne
11 Jul
St Etienne
2 : 2
Biel
29 May
Nice
4 : 1
St Etienne
26 May
St Etienne
0 : 0
Nice
15 May
St Etienne
1 : 0
Rodez
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)