Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nanjing City vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu

China China

League One 2025 Wutaishan Stadium, Nanjing
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Ogbu M.
10' Event
Lupeta J.
(Penalty)
18'
Ogbu M.

AI Match Summary

Shijiazhuang Gongfu in this League One 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shijiazhuang Gongfu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nanjing City
30%
Draws
34%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nanjing City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Nanjing City have won more games recently than Shijiazhuang Gongfu.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Nanjing City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Shijiazhuang Gongfu have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nanjing City Clean Sheet 20%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nanjing City Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 League One
Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Nanjing City
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 League One
Nanjing City vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1:3
May 25, 2025 League One
Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Nanjing City
2:0
Oct 5, 2024 League One
Nanjing City vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1:1
May 25, 2024 League One
Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Nanjing City
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nanjing City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Shijiazhuang Gongfu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurban I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ayovi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nanjing City 36 / 100
Shijiazhuang Gongfu 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nanjing City Shijiazhuang Gongfu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nanjing City's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Shijiazhuang Gongfu conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Nanjing City has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nanjing City VS Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nanjing City

(Home)
25 Jul
Changchun Yatai
2 : 1
Nanjing City
18 Jul
Nanjing City
0 : 1
Guangdong GZ-Power
11 Jul
Dalian Kun City
2 : 0
Nanjing City
05 Jul
Nanjing City
3 : 1
Foshan Nanshi
27 Jun
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2 : 1
Nanjing City
Page 1 of 6

Shijiazhuang Gongfu

(Away)
25 Jul
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1 : 1
Nantong Zhiyun
17 Jul
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0 : 0
Yanbian Longding
11 Jul
Guangdong GZ-Power
2 : 0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
04 Jul
Ningbo Professional
2 : 1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
27 Jun
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2 : 1
Nanjing City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Liaoning Tieren30208264:2768
2Chongqing Tonglianglong30186652:3260
3Guangdong GZ-Power30186655:3560
4Yanbian Longding30167743:2555
5Shijiazhuang Gongfu301211739:3147
6Dingnan Ganlian301111840:3544
7Nantong Zhiyun301271144:3143
8Dalian Kun City301191042:3842
9Shaanxi Union301091148:4739
10Suzhou Dongwu309111025:2838
11Nanjing City30991240:4836
12Shanghai Jiading Huilong30861626:4430
13Foshan Nanshi30781527:4929
14Shenzhen Juniors30841838:6028
15Guangxi Pingguo Haliao30671724:4725
16Qingdao Red Lions30272120:5013
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Relegation - League Two (Main)