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Napier City vs Auckland City

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Ukich S.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2024 game between Napier City and Auckland City finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auckland City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Napier City
28%
Draws
50%
Auckland City
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auckland City come out ahead of Napier City on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Auckland City's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular National League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Napier City Clean Sheet 20%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napier City Auckland City
Matches Played 34 47
Wins 13 31
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2024 National League
Napier City vs Auckland City
0:1
Oct 8, 2023 National League
Napier City vs Auckland City
2:4
Oct 23, 2022 National League
Auckland City vs Napier City
3:0
Jan 22, 2005 Football Championship
Auckland City vs Napier City
3:3
Jan 4, 2005 Football Championship
Napier City vs Auckland City
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napier City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ukich S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napier City 24 / 100
Auckland City 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napier City Auckland City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napier City found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (34 games).

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Auckland City let in goals in 64% of their last 47 matches.

Recent resilience: Napier City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napier City VS Auckland City
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 3.25
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Napier City

(Home)
04 Jul
Petone
0 : 4
Napier City
06 Jul
Napier City
2 : 3
Wellington Olympic
23 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Napier City
17 Nov
Napier City
0 : 1
Auckland City
10 Nov
Coastal Spirit
1 : 3
Napier City
Page 1 of 7

Auckland City

(Away)
04 Jul
Auckland City
3 : 0
Takapuna Afc
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Auckland City
06 Dec
Auckland City
3 : 0
Coastal Spirit
30 Nov
Western Springs
1 : 3
Auckland City
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Birkenhead962123:1620
2Auckland City961220:1019
3Western Springs960325:1618
4Napier City952221:1417
5Wellington Phoenix 2941416:1913
6Wellington Olympic932417:1511
7Coastal Spirit932418:2011
8Cashmere Technical923416:189
9Eastern Suburbs91268:175
10Western Suburbs91179:284
Promotion - National League 2024 (Grand Final)