Sport Picks
Match Events
22'
22'
Luperto S.
28'
28'
Lucca L.
Assist: Vergara A.
55'
55'
Sub
Pavoletti L. In: Borrelli G.
Out: Pavoletti L.
AI Match Summary
Napoli in this Coppa Italia 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cagliari
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Napoli have won more games recently than Cagliari.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Napoli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Napoli, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Napoli have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Napoli Clean Sheet 20%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Napoli | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 20, 2026 Serie A
Cagliari vs Napoli
0:1
Dec 3, 2025 Coppa Italia
Napoli vs Cagliari
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Serie A
Napoli vs Cagliari
1:0
May 23, 2025 Serie A
Napoli vs Cagliari
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Serie A
Cagliari vs Napoli
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Napoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Lucca L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Cagliari Compare
Top Goalscorer Esposito Se.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Napoli 32 / 100
Cagliari 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Napoli Cagliari
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Napoli scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Cagliari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Napoli stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Napoli VS Cagliari
2 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Napoli
(Home) 20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Napoli
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0 Bologna
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1 Arsenal
05 Sept
Inter
3 : 2 Napoli
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2 Como
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0 Bologna
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1 Arsenal
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2 Como
12 Aug
Napoli
6 : 2 Aris
08 Aug
Napoli
1 : 1 Celta Vigo
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Cagliari
(Away) 19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1 Cagliari
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2 Cagliari
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0 Lecce
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2 Verona
30 Aug
Cagliari
0 : 1 Inter
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19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1 Cagliari
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2 Cagliari
22 Aug
Parma
0 : 1 Cagliari
02 Aug
Union Berlin
2 : 2 Cagliari
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0 Cagliari
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
Pescara 1
Rimini 0
Spezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
TBD -
Bari -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
TBD -
TBD -
Reggiana -
Genoa -
TBD -
Padova 0
Vicenza 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Avellino 0
Verona -
TBD -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Frosinone -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Entella 4
Ternana 0
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
1/32-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma 2
Pescara 0
Spezia 2
Sampdoria 1
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan 2
Bari 0
Lecce 2
Juve Stabia 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli 2
Reggiana 1
Genoa 3
Vicenza 0
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Carrarese 0
Cremonese 0
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Verona 2
Venezia 4
Mantova 0
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino 1
Modena 0
Pisa 1
Cesena 0
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza 0
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 2
Entella 1
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como 3
Sudtirol 1
Sassuolo 1
Catanzaro 0
1/16-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
Parma 3
Spezia 2
Lazio -
TBD -
AC Milan 3
Lecce 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
Empoli 1
Genoa 3
Juventus -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
Verona 0
Venezia 1
AS Roma -
TBD -
Torino 1
Pisa 0
Napoli -
TBD -
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 4
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Como 3
Sassuolo 0
1/8-finals
Bologna 2
Parma 1
Lazio 1
AC Milan 0
Atalanta 4
Genoa 0
Juventus 2
Udinese 0
Inter 5
Venezia 1
AS Roma 2
Torino 3
Napoli 2
Cagliari 1
Fiorentina 1
Como 3
Quarter-finals
Bologna 1
Lazio 2
Atalanta 3
Juventus 0
Inter 2
Torino 1
Napoli 1
Como 2
Semi-finals
Lazio 4
Atalanta 3
Inter 3
Como 2
Final
Lazio 0
Inter 2
