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Napoli W vs Lazio W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Giuseppe Piccolo, Cercola
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Martin E. In: Castiello A.
Out: Martin E.
32'
Bellucci M.
59'
Sub
Sciabica M. In: D'Angelo O.
Out: Sciabica M.

AI Match Summary

Lazio W in this Serie A Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lazio W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Napoli W
20%
Draws
51%
Lazio W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lazio W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lazio W lately — more wins on the board than Napoli W.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Lazio W taking it.
  • Regular Serie A Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lazio W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Napoli W Clean Sheet 14%
Lazio W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli W Lazio W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Serie A Cup Women
Lazio W vs Napoli W
4:2
Mar 14, 2026 Serie A Women
Napoli W vs Lazio W
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie A Women
Lazio W vs Napoli W
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
Lazio W vs Napoli W
2:1
Apr 18, 2025 Serie A Women
Lazio W vs Napoli W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lazio W Compare

Top Goalscorer Monnecchi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli W 10 / 100
Lazio W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli W Lazio W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Napoli W scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Lazio W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Napoli W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli W VS Lazio W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli W

(Home)
06 Sept
Napoli W
1 : 0
Parma W
30 Aug
Inter W
6 : 0
Napoli W
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2
Napoli W
17 May
Napoli W
1 : 1
Sassuolo W
09 May
Como W
0 : 0
Napoli W
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Lazio W

(Away)
06 Sept
Inter W
3 : 1
Lazio W
30 Aug
Lazio W
2 : 0
Parma W
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2
Napoli W
17 May
Fiorentina W
2 : 1
Lazio W
10 May
Lazio W
2 : 0
Ternana W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)