Sport Picks
Napoli W vs Sassuolo W
Italy
Coppa Italia Women 2025/2026 Stadio Giuseppe Piccolo, Cercola 
Match Events
40'
40'
Kozak K.
63'
63'
Floe C.
75'
75'
Dhont E.
AI Match Summary
Napoli W in this Coppa Italia Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
20%
56%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sassuolo W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Napoli W lately — more wins on the board than Sassuolo W.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on Sassuolo W taking it.
- Napoli W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sassuolo W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Napoli W Clean Sheet 16%
Sassuolo W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Napoli W | Sassuolo W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Serie A Women
Napoli W vs Sassuolo W
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs Napoli W
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Coppa Italia Women
Napoli W vs Sassuolo W
3:1
Apr 13, 2025 Serie A Women
Napoli W vs Sassuolo W
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs Napoli W
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Napoli W Compare
Top Goalscorer Kozak K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Floe C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Sassuolo W Compare
Top Goalscorer Dhont E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Napoli W 23 / 100
Sassuolo W 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Napoli W Sassuolo W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sassuolo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Napoli W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Sassuolo W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Napoli W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Napoli W VS Sassuolo W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Napoli W
(Home) 06 Sept
Napoli W
1 : 0 Parma W
30 Aug
Inter W
6 : 0 Napoli W
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2 Napoli W
17 May
Napoli W
1 : 1 Sassuolo W
09 May
Como W
0 : 0 Napoli W
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06 Sept
Napoli W
1 : 0 Parma W
17 May
Napoli W
1 : 1 Sassuolo W
02 May
Napoli W
2 : 3 Juventus W
04 Apr
Napoli W
4 : 1 Genoa W
14 Mar
Napoli W
0 : 1 Lazio W
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Sassuolo W
(Away) 20 Sept
Moncalieri W
1 : 2 Sassuolo W
13 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 7 AS Roma W
05 Sept
Sassuolo W
2 : 0 Ternana W
30 Aug
AS Roma W
0 : 1 Sassuolo W
23 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 2 Sassuolo W
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20 Sept
Moncalieri W
1 : 2 Sassuolo W
30 Aug
AS Roma W
0 : 1 Sassuolo W
23 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 2 Sassuolo W
08 Aug
Cesena W
4 : 2 Sassuolo W
17 May
Napoli W
1 : 1 Sassuolo W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Cesena W -
TBD -
TBD -
Brescia W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Juventus W -
Napoli W -
TBD -
Venezia W 1
Frosinone W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo W -
Genoa W -
TBD -
TBD -
Hellas Verona W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan W -
Bologna W -
TBD -
TBD -
Freedom W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fiorentina W -
Lumezzane W -
TBD -
TBD -
Arezzo W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Roma W -
Parma W -
TBD -
TBD -
San Marino Academy W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio W -
Trastevere Calcio W 3
Vicenza W 2
TBD -
Ternana W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como W -
Como 1907 W -
TBD -
TBD -
RES Roma W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter W -
1/16-finals
Cesena W 2
Brescia W 1
TBD -
Juventus W -
Napoli W 5
Venezia W 1
TBD -
Sassuolo W -
Genoa W 4
Hellas Verona W 0
TBD -
AC Milan W -
Bologna W 4
Freedom W 3
TBD -
Fiorentina W -
Lumezzane W 1
Arezzo W 0
TBD -
AS Roma W -
Parma W 4
San Marino Academy W 0
TBD -
Lazio W -
Trastevere Calcio W 0
Ternana W 3
TBD -
Como W -
Como 1907 W 3
RES Roma W 2
TBD -
Inter W -
1/8-finals
Cesena W 1
Juventus W 7
Napoli W 3
Sassuolo W 1
Genoa W 2
AC Milan W 3
Bologna W 1
Fiorentina W 2
Lumezzane W 1
AS Roma W 4
Parma W 0
Lazio W 1
Ternana W 2
Como W 1
Como 1907 W 1
Inter W 2
Quarter-finals
Juventus W 4
Napoli W 2
AC Milan W 1
Fiorentina W 2
AS Roma W 3
Lazio W 0
Ternana W 0
Inter W 6
Semi-finals
Juventus W 4
Fiorentina W 1
AS Roma W 3
Inter W 2
Final
Juventus W 0
AS Roma W 1
