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Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Papka B.
11' Event
Stanek K.
16' Event
Plesinski E.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Naprzod Jedrzejow and Sparta Kazimierza Wielka finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naprzod Jedrzejow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Naprzod Jedrzejow
6%
Draws
4%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Naprzod Jedrzejow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sparta Kazimierza Wielka haven't matched Naprzod Jedrzejow's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Naprzod Jedrzejow's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Naprzod Jedrzejow Clean Sheet 19%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naprzod Jedrzejow Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 3 1
Losses 15 27
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
7:1
Sep 21, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naprzod Jedrzejow Compare

Top Goalscorer Papka B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stanek K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare

Top Goalscorer Sendor A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naprzod Jedrzejow 85 / 100
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naprzod Jedrzejow Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JED Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sparta Kazimierza Wielka conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Naprzod Jedrzejow scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naprzod Jedrzejow VS Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013