Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nara Club vs Oita Trinita

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Konoike Athletic Stadium, Nara
Sat, May 30, 2026
4 - 3
05:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Arima K.
Assist: Yoshida M.
27' Event
Kim Hyun-woo
Assist: Utsumoto S.
44' Event
Yoshida M.
Assist: Utsumoto S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-3, with Nara Club advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nara Club
6%
Draws
4%
Oita Trinita
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nara Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nara Club's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Oita Trinita have produced (0.75).
  • Nara Club are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Nara Club, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Nara Club Clean Sheet 68%
Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nara Club Oita Trinita
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 J2/J3 League
Nara Club vs Oita Trinita
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nara Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Mochizuki S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tamura S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Oita Trinita Compare

Top Goalscorer Arima K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Hyun-woo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nara Club 95 / 100
Oita Trinita 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nara Club Oita Trinita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Nara Club scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Nara Club stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Oita Trinita lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nara Club VS Oita Trinita
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nara Club

(Home)
06 Jun
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2
Nara Club
30 May
Nara Club
4 : 3
Oita Trinita
23 May
Nara Club
5 : 1
Toyama
16 May
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Nara Club
10 May
Tokushima
1 : 2
Nara Club
Page 1 of 6

Oita Trinita

(Away)
07 Jun
Oita Trinita
1 : 0
Montedio Yamagata
30 May
Nara Club
4 : 3
Oita Trinita
24 May
Gainare Tottori
1 : 0
Oita Trinita
17 May
Oita Trinita
1 : 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
10 May
Oita Trinita
0 : 1
Sagan Tosu
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Blaublitz2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo1
Albirex Niigata0
Kagoshima United1
Thespakusatsu Gunma0
Gifu1
Kanazawa1
Gainare Tottori3
Kamatamare Sanuki3
Giravanz Kitakyushu1
Tochigi SC0
Nagano Parceiro1
Tokushima3
Sagan Tosu1
Shonan Bellmare1
Iwaki2
Yokohama FC2
Omiya Ardija1
Kochi United2
Renofa Yamaguchi3
Montedio Yamagata1
Matsumoto Yamaga2
Nara Club4
Oita Trinita3
SC Sagamihara4
Fujieda MYFC3
Ehime0
Kumamoto1
Vanraure0
Fukushima United1
Imabari1
Ryukyu2
Tochigi City4
Iwata3
FC Osaka0
Reilac Shiga1
Final
Blaublitz0
Kagoshima United2
Gifu1
Gainare Tottori2
Kamatamare Sanuki0
Nagano Parceiro1
Tokushima2
Iwaki0
Yokohama FC2
Renofa Yamaguchi1
Matsumoto Yamaga0
Nara Club2
SC Sagamihara3
Kumamoto0
Fukushima United2
Ryukyu1
Tochigi City3
Reilac Shiga1