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Naron vs CD Ourense

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 game between Naron and CD Ourense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Ourense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Naron
30%
Draws
58%
CD Ourense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Ourense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Ourense come out ahead of Naron on wins alone.
  • CD Ourense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CD Ourense have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Naron Clean Sheet 19%
CD Ourense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naron CD Ourense
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 4 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.34 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs CD Ourense
0:1
Nov 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Ourense vs Naron
3:0
May 9, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Ourense vs Naron
4:1
Jan 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs CD Ourense
4:1
Feb 21, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Ourense vs Naron
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naron 10 / 100
CD Ourense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naron CD Ourense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Ourense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Naron scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

CD Ourense let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Naron stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Ourense
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Naron

(Home)
19 May
Rapido de Bouzas
4 : 1
Naron
12 May
Naron
3 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
05 May
Betanzos CF
2 : 1
Naron
28 Apr
Naron
1 : 3
Villalonga
21 Apr
Racing Club Ferrol
5 : 0
Naron
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CD Ourense

(Away)
11 May
CD Ourense
3 : 0
SD Logrones
04 May
Racing Santander
1 : 1
CD Ourense
27 Apr
CD Ourense
1 : 1
Leonesa
20 Apr
Zamora
2 : 1
CD Ourense
13 Apr
CD Ourense
0 : 1
Guijuelo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerceda 36 26 5 5 58:17 83
2 Racing Club Ferrol 36 22 7 7 79:29 73
3 CD Ourense 36 21 4 11 71:31 67
4 Racing Club Villalbes 36 17 12 7 39:25 63
5 Somozas 36 16 12 8 49:32 60
6 Alondras 36 14 13 9 47:38 55
7 SD Ordenes 36 15 10 11 42:44 55
8 SD Negreira 36 14 9 13 41:35 51
9 Villalonga 36 12 13 11 42:45 49
10 Rapido de Bouzas 36 13 5 18 43:51 44
11 CD AS Pontes 36 11 11 14 41:53 44
12 Estradense 36 11 11 14 37:41 44
13 Meson do Bento 36 7 19 10 36:48 40
14 Bergantinos 36 10 10 16 33:45 40
15 CD Cultural Areas 36 9 12 15 40:55 39
16 Pontevedra B 36 9 10 17 30:46 37
17 Santa Comba 36 8 11 17 30:52 35
18 Naron 36 8 7 21 33:56 31
19 Portonovo SD 36 5 7 24 23:71 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)